Health
If social withdrawal was imposed a week ago, the lives of 36,000 Americans could have been saved: a study
In the first week of March President Donald Trump He underestimated the threat that COVID-19 posed to the United States. He is American March 5 City Hall Say “all calm down” and say “everything goes well”
But according to research Published this week Infectious disease modelers at Columbia University in New York would have saved tens of thousands of lives in the United States if social distance measures were imposed around Trump’s Town Hall.
It was until March 16 that Trump told the Americans to avoid extraneous trips and group gatherings. A new study, which has not yet been peer-reviewed, says that if such restrictions were introduced just a week ago, about 36,000 lives could have been saved.
Also, if the same restrictions were imposed on March 1, it is estimated that by the first week of May, there will be an estimated 54,000 fewer people estimated to die of the coronavirus.
“Our findings underscore the importance of early intervention and active response to control the COVID-19 pandemic,” the researchers said in their paper.
The epidemiologist Jeffrey Sherman, who led the research, can make a “big, big difference” in a week or two. Told the New York Times..
“The small moments that catch it at that stage of growth are very important in reducing deaths,” he said.
According to estimates by Sherman and his team, the White House told the Times that Trump’s restrictions on travel from China and Europe imposed in mid-January and March eased the COVID-19 epidemic. Did.
At the city hall in early March, Trump advertised his decision to restrict travel between the United States and China, where the coronavirus is believed to have occurred, “saved many lives.”
“The plus was given for that,” he said.
However, Sherman’s study suggests that more life could be saved if other interventions were made at that time.
Such actions would have had a very dramatic effect in reducing the number of cases and deaths that would have been seen so far, ”Sherman. I told Don Lemon of CNN on Wednesday.
Sherman also added that the findings of his team should serve as a warning as the state is preparing to loosen virus restrictions.
“Relaxing these restrictions can cause the virus to spread to many communities if you’re not careful,” he told Lemon. “If the social distance practice is lost. People don’t wear face masks when they start going to business, restaurants or theaters. Don’t watch this and jump without really being aware of it at an early stage. Then you lose control again. “
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