Preliminary assessment indicates that IC production is currently unaffected amid a strong earthquake in northeastern Japan

Article written by: TrendForce

Most of northeastern Japan is a center for global semiconductor raw material production.

A 7.3-magnitude earthquake occurred off the coast of Fukushima, Japan, on the evening of March 16 (CST). Most of northeastern Japan is a center for global semiconductor raw material production. According to TrendForce, in the main earthquake zone, only K1 Fab from Kioxia (located in Kitakami) will face potential production cuts to Q1 22. Some remaining memory or semiconductor companies in the area are conducting machine inspections but the overall impact has been silent.

In terms of memory, the earthquake intensity of the K1 Fab in Kioxia reached a magnitude of 5. When the earthquake occurred, the chip input was partially damaged. At present, K1 Fab is closed for inspection. Q1 22 production capacity for K1 Fab has been reduced following the recent pollution incident and represents approximately 8% of Kioxia’s 2022 production capacity. Operating amid a cloud of potential aftershocks, Kioxia’s capacity utilization rate may be slow to recover Next week, causing a further bearish revision to K1 Fab’s 1Q22 production. The remaining Kioxia plants, such as the Micron plant in Hiroshima, were not affected.

Looking at the spot market price, prices have risen since February due to contamination of Kioxia’s raw materials. The Russo-Ukrainian war did not cause significant upward or downward movements in spot prices. After the Fukushima earthquake last night, prices have remained stable. TrendForce confirms that overall spot demand remains weak and prices are not subject to drastic changes.

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In terms of raw flakes, Sumko’s Yonezawa plant in Yamagata and Shin-Etsu’s Shirakawa plant in Fukushima are both within the affected area, and are experiencing earthquake intensity of 5. Due to the very high stability required in the crystal growth process, the industry has yet to announce earthquake effect. TrendForce, in addition to shutdown checks, determines that damage to machines and silicon chip inputs is unavoidable. However, in addition to the reallocation of production plans, the buildings were reinforced after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami in Japan, so the overall damage may be slight.

In regards to foundries, there are two 12-inch and two 8-inch wafers made in Japan, including the UMC Fab12M (12-inch), Uozu Tower (12-inch), Tonami (8-inch), and Arai (8-inch), located in Mie, Toyama, and Niigata prefectures, respectively, and separately suffer earthquake degrees from 1 to 3. At present, these fab are operating normally and any impact of the earthquake on plants is largely minimal. However, IDM’s Naka plant is located within a magnitude 5 zone and they have also closed and reduced production to confirm the earthquake’s impact.

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