Health
Those who stayed home before the lockdown were likely to have delayed the spread of COVID-19: Researcher
ALEXIS CARRINGTON, ABC NEWS
(New York)—A new study finds that active and home-savvy people before the lockdown mandate in the US may delay the spread of the new coronavirus in March and April. It was.
According to a study released today in Lancet, in the 25 most affected U.S. counties, more than normal people stayed home for almost a week to a month before the state’s home policy was enforced. Has begun.
The reduction in migration was strongly correlated with the reduction in COVID-19 cases in those counties in March and April. This suggests that pre-policy social distance played an important role in controlling the spread of the virus.
“If no individual action is taken and social distance action is delayed until state-level directives are implemented, COVID-19 may be unrelieved and distributed in some locations for additional weeks. This inevitably leads to increased infections and deaths,” said Dr. Lauren Gardner, lead author of the study and an engineer at the Civil Engineering Department at Johns Hopkins University.
“This shows that helping to slow the spread of COVID-19 is within the power of each US resident,” Gardner said.
“Intuitively, while dealing with an infectious respiratory virus that spreads from person to person over a relatively short distance, social or physical distance from another person does not reduce the risk of transmission. It makes sense,” said Todd Elarin. , Director of Infectious Diseases at South Shore Health.
This study increases mobility from one destination to another, called mobility ratio (MR), which correlates with an increasing number of cases of COVID-19, and uses anonymized mobile phone data to Shows the movement of.
“This was the potentially most important single intervention to deplete the virus of fuels that needed to spread from person to person and reduce the COVID hot zone,” Ellerin said.
One of the biggest limitations faced at the completion of the study was that it was difficult to accurately quantify the effects of social distance.
However, Lancet’s work provides evidence to support the idea that social distance is an essential tool for minimizing spread.
“The good news from this article is that we were often far from social distances before the states mandated it, and we need to continue this preemptive strategy as individuals,” Eralin said. “We can’t wait for the hospital to reach maximum capacity for COVID and non-COVID patients before implementing this basic infection control principle.”
Alexis E. Carrington, MD is currently completing her year of internal medicine at Elmhurst Hospital in New York City and a contributor to the ABC News Medical Unit.
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