Health

Coronavirus: Average daily death rate below 100 for the first time since the British blockade began, according to analysis

British Coronavirus The average daily death rate is 100 years old, Blockade..

The evening standard analysis of daily numbers published by the Department of Health and Human Services (DHSC) averaged 98 over the past week.

was An additional 67 deaths from the virus announced by DHSC on Saturday , As we can see in the graph below, we have averaged below 100 for the first time since March 25th.

At the height of mid-April, Britain lost an average of 943 people per day.

The 98 average is based on last week’s daily numbers. However, the figures announced by the department may require some adjustments. According to the published total death toll statistics, the average is 92, showing the first drop below 100 on Saturday.

Promising numbers come out when Britain escapes from the 103-day blockade. Pubs, restaurants and salons open yesterday nationwide ..

But, Deregulation concerns In the case of coronavirus it leads to a second spike.

According to the Emergency Scientific Advisory Group, the country’s R number (reproductive rate of the virus) remains unchanged from last week, between 0.7 and 0.9.Sage).

However, a few hours until the drinker gets off LondonYesterday’s pubs and bars revealed that the capital had an R-number of more than 1, creating a new outbreak fear.

Last week, the government placed Leicester under a local blockade following a surge in incidents.

Jason Oke is a senior statistician at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences at the University of University. Oxford..

“The fact that the 7-day moving average has dropped below 100 for the first time since March 25 is a welcome sign, reflecting a declining trend in mortality in all situations since early April.

“But the DHSC numbers represent the reported dates, not the dates when the deaths occurred. This is because Saturdays and Sundays have lower numbers and tend to increase again after the weekend, so the 7-day average It means that you need to interpret the overall trend.

“But the decline has slowed down, with 2,838 people hospitalized for COVID-19 and suffering a large number of deaths, which have not yet been reported, so throughout July, and sometimes even in August. Expected to die.”

We asked the Ministry of Health and Human Services for comment.

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