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“I think we’re in a good place. I don’t agree with him.”

The University of Washington has expanded its forecast of how many people are likely to die from coronavirus in the U.S. by November 1, predicting at least 208,225 deaths by then, based on the current scenario.

But if 95% of the population wears a mask in public, that number will drop to approximately 162,808, universities said Tuesday about the Institute for Health Metrics and Assessment (IHME).

Last week, IHME predicted some 175,168 total deaths by October 1, based on the current scenario. But if almost everyone wears a face mask, that number would drop to about 150,000.

How modeling works: The current model includes predictions that re-establish strong social distancing mandates when day-to-day deaths reach a level of eight per million people, combined with the adoption of widespread measures, despite an approach that does not take any preventive action. , strong social distance measures in Florida could cut 6,173 deaths there by October 1st.

The model continues to predict a serious rise in deaths and cases starting from mid to late September and October. Predictions may change if there is an increase in infections among the at-risk population. Currently, states report that they are detecting an increasing number of cases among young people who have a lower risk of death, IHME said.

Some contexts: So far, according to Johns Hopkins University, more than 2.96 million Americans have been diagnosed with coronavirus infections and at least 130,902 have died.

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