Politics
China's economic slowdown looks even worse in some provinces BNN Bloomberg
(Bloomberg) — Chinese provinces that account for about a third of the economy are having a worse year than the country as a whole, succumbing to a slowdown that likely prompted the government to move forward with a series of stimulus measures last month.
Only five provinces on the continent are seeing their real gross domestic product grow faster this year than last, according to Bloomberg calculations based on official figures. Among the 26 provinces that released data for the third quarter, 11 experienced a more pronounced deceleration than the national slowdown.
The worst performing countries so far this year are Tibet, Jilin and Hainan, whose gain of 3.2% is 6 percentage points lower than in 2023. Even economic powerhouses such as Zhejiang, Shanghai and Jiangsu saw their GDP growth slow.
Guangdong, which accounted for more than 10% of the economy last year, grew just 3.4%, the weakest result since the pandemic and down 1.4 percentage points from the whole of 2023. National GDP increased by 4.8% in the first nine months, up from 5.2. % last year.
The sharp slowdown evident in China's main regions has left large parts of the $18 trillion economy growing well below the official target of around 5%. In response, Beijing reversed course in late September and rolled out a series of measures that marked President Xi Jinping's boldest recovery since the pandemic.
The problems facing China's economy are widespread, with industrial production falling this year in Heilongjiang, Qinghai and Shanxi and retail sales falling in Beijing and Shanghai, two of the country's richest cities. .
Underscoring how personal consumption never really rebounded from the pandemic, restaurant and hotel sales fell 5.1% this year in Beijing and more than 11% in Shanghai.
Local governments across China also face a deteriorating financial situation, as debts pile up and revenues decline due to falling land sales. Although the central government has promised to do more to help them repay their debt, their deficits continue to widen.
The overall budget deficit of all local governments increased by nearly 3 percent this year from a year earlier, reaching 11.2 trillion yuan ($1.6 trillion) through the end of September, data shows of the Ministry of Finance published last week.
–With the help of Yujing Liu.
2024 Bloomberg LP
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