Politics
China's Xi will likely decline Trump's invitation to the inauguration, saying it is too risky to attend.
By DIDI TANG
Associated Press
WASHINGTON (AP) Chinese leader Xi Jinping would likely view President-elect Donald Trump's invitation to attend his inauguration as too risky to accept, and Trump's gesture may have little impact on increasingly competitive ties between both nations as the White House changes. hands, experts say.
Trump's new press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, confirmed Thursday that Trump had extended an invitation to the Jan. 20 ceremony. The Chinese embassy in Washington said it had no information to provide. But experts don't see Xi coming to Washington next month.
Why wouldn't Xi participate?
Can you imagine Xi Jinping sitting outside in Washington, DC, in January, at the feet of the podium, surrounded by hawkish members of Congress, watching Donald Trump as he delivers his inaugural address? said Danny Russell, who previously served as assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific Affairs.
Russell, now vice president for international security and diplomacy at the Asia Society Policy Institute, said Xi would not allow himself to be reduced to the status of a mere guest celebrating the triumph of a foreign leader, President American, nothing less.
Yun Sun, director of the China program at the Stimson Center, a Washington-based think tank, said Beijing would play it safe if there were no protocols or precedents for a Chinese leader to attend China's inauguration. an American president.
I don't think the Chinese will take that risk, Sun said. There could be risks in the guest list, for example, Sun said, noting that Taiwan's top diplomat in the United States attended President Joe Biden's swearing-in in 2021. Beijing considers Taiwan a territory Chinese and has repeatedly warned the United States that it is a red line that must not be crossed.
If Trump imposes tariffs of up to 60% on Chinese goods upon taking office, as he has threatened, Xi would look like a fool if he chose to attend, and that is unacceptable to Beijing, Sun said.
Chinese officials are rather known for their obsession with their leader's dignity and safety when traveling abroad, said Russell, who has negotiated high-level summits with the Chinese. They have always demanded that any leaders' trip to Washington be treated as a full state visit with all the bells and whistles, Russell said.
What future for US-China relations?
But Trump and Xi should be expected to meet in person soon, Russell said. Trump prefers in-person meetings with foreign leaders, especially with key adversaries, and Beijing may believe it can get a better deal by dealing directly with Trump, Russell said.
Trump's return to the White House is expected to further intensify the rivalry between the United States and China. He chose several China hawks for his cabinet, including Sen. Marco Rubio as secretary of state and Rep. Mike Waltz as national security adviser.
Beijing has taken a wait-and-see approach, but says it is ready to retaliate if Washington increases tariffs on Chinese goods or takes other hostile measures.
Sun of the Stimson Center warns that Trump's invitation does not rule out hostile policies toward China. Trump visited China in 2017 and played a nice role, but the following year he started the trade war, she said.
We've seen this before, Sun said. For Trump, there is no contradiction between the carrot and the stick. For China, this is a contradiction. This will reinforce China's desire to play it safe, not to be played by Trump, whether it is a friendly or hostile message.
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