The two earthquake was a warning. A much worse earthquake. -San Diego Union Tribune

On Monday morning, the residents of southern California were reminded of the extent of the Earth's fragility at it. A 5.2 -magnitude earthquake rocked the province of San Diego, and sent shock waves as Los Angeles. San Deerjes was lucky: No severe deaths or damages were reported. But luck is not a plan. As our national disaster system melts, they can be alone when it strikes the real output.

Last month, President Trump signed the Executive Order 14239, as he seeks to empty responsibility for responding to disasters to government governments and local governments. A few days later, Minister of Internal Security Christie sleep said that she intends to “eliminate” the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). This is not a repair. It is giving up. It is a chaos by design.

Here is how our disaster system is supposed to work: local respondents are the first in. The state supports them. When the crisis exceeds its ability, the federal government – like the older brother with deep pockets and national muscles. The Stafford Law allows this, and the national accident management system is the book of play.

This system, when it works, brings the system to the chaos of the disaster. But it is dismantled in front of our eyes. No one has any idea of ​​what will be in his place.

The system has not always succeeded. After Hurricane Maria in 2017, chaos in the first Trump administration led to a long suffering in Puerto Rico. Then the amazing collapse of federal crisis management came in April 2020 during the first weeks of Covid-19. “We all have been told in a phone call – all the fifty conservatives – that we were alone,” said Washington Governor Jay Ensley. Hospitals overflowed. Personal protection equipment disappeared. He left the countries to compete against each other to obtain life -saving supplies.

The solution to the administration seems to be completely writing the federal government outside the process. This huge gambling depends on the idea that “all domestic disasters” – a concept that collapses in the face of the real catastrophe. Studies on major earthquake responses – from Mexico City in 1985 to Kreystech, New Zealand, were found in 2010 to Turkey in 1999 and 2023 – repeatedly and repeatedly that local governments and state governments were overwhelmed within hours.

This is very important for the province of San Diego, which is at risk from many rift areas. The California earthquake says there is 75 % opportunity of 7.0 or a larger earthquake in southern California in the next two decades.

If you really hit one big, will we be ready? Not even near.

The United States has resources, people and experience. What we do not have is a responsible person to make things happen. We need Fema – now more than ever – to manage complex and severe disasters in the era of Polycrisis. The re -focused and enabled FEMA will put strong partnerships between the public and private sectors, which leads to a government -led response, but it does not focus on the government. The national disaster machine that we need strongly will become: fast, coordinated, uncompromising.

But we have run out of time.

One day, San Diegens will wake up in a parallel world. The huge earthquake will be torn across southern California, cut off the infrastructure, overwhelming hospitals and leaves entire societies cut off. Amazing families will wander in destroyed neighborhoods. Thousands of rubble will be held. No one will come.

When this failure occurs, it will not stem from employee deficiency, equipment or technology. It will stem from lack of efficiency.

This disaster will be within the disaster.

Makini is a former deputy deputy of the Emergency Management Office in New York City and a former member of the National Consulting Council, and lives in New York City.

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