Health
There are 20% more deaths in the United States this year than expected, most of them due to Covid-19.
According to a study by Dr. Stephen Woolf of Virginia State University School of Medicine and Virginia State University School of Medicine, “The total death toll in the United States is significantly consistent each year, but the death toll in the United States is from March to July 2020. Increased by 20% in the meantime “Public Health Graduate School.
“Covid-19 was the documented cause of only 67% of these excessive deaths,” the researchers write.
Researchers analyzed mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics and the US Census Bureau. Overall, research found that 1,336,561 people died in the United States between March 1 and August 1, 2020. This shows a 20% increase compared to what is normally expected.
“Some people who have never been infected with the virus may have died from the pandemic turmoil,” Wolff added. “These include people with acute emergencies, chronic diseases such as diabetes that have not been properly treated, or emotional crises that lead to overdose or suicide.”
New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Louisiana, Arizona, Mississippi, Maryland, Delaware, Rhode Island, and Michigan were the 10 states with the highest per capita mortality rates. The increase in absolute deaths ranged from 22% in Rhode Island and Michigan to 65% in New York.
According to researchers, New York, New Jersey, and Massachusetts (the three states with the highest mortality rates) accounted for 30% of US excess mortality, but the epidemic was the shortest.
“States that experienced an acute surge in April (and later resumed) had a shorter epidemic that returned to baseline in May, while states that resumed earlier had a longer-lasting summer excess mortality. I experienced an increase, “the researchers wrote.
Covid-19 accounts for about two-thirds of US over-death
Of the 225,530 excess deaths, 150,541 (or 67%) were due to Covid-19.
According to the analysis, deaths related to causes other than Covid-19 increased, including increased US heart disease mortality during the week March 21-April 11. “With the spring surge in Covid-19 cases,” the researchers wrote.
Researchers have found that the mortality rate for Alzheimer’s disease and dementia has doubled. First during the week from March 21st to April 11th, then during the week from June 6th to July 25th-“consistent with the summer surge in Sunbelt”.
“Some states are more difficult than others to contain community expansion, causing a prolonged rise in excessive mortality over the summer,” the researchers wrote.
They also reflect that excessive deaths due to other than Covid-19 are deaths from unrecognized or undocumented cases, or deaths from uninfected patients facing the confusion caused by the pandemic. He added that it may be.
The study had several limitations, including provisional data, inaccuracies in death certificates, and reliance on assumptions applied to the model.
They write: “These deaths far exceed those of the United States due to some armed conflicts such as the Korean War and the Vietnam War, and those of the 2009 H1N1 (swine flu) pandemic, and those of World War II. It’s getting closer to the number. “
Mortality from coronavirus in the United States is higher than in other countries
Harvard PhD candidate Alyssa Bilinski and Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel, vice president of the Global Initiative and professor at the University of Pennsylvania, have different pandemic responses to US coronavirus mortality through September 19. Compared to mortality rates in 18 countries.
Since May 10, researchers have found that the United States has more deaths per 100,000 than other “high mortality” countries included in the comparison, such as France and Sweden.
In countries with high mortality, more than 25 people die per 100,000, including the United States, the Netherlands, France, Sweden, Italy, the United Kingdom, Spain and Belgium.
The United States was far superior to some high-mortality countries, but it was only in the early stages of a pandemic. Comparisons in this study show that if the United States shows the same mortality rate as France after May 10, the death toll will be 96,763 less.
In countries with moderate mortality, the death toll per 100,000 is less than 5-25, including Norway, Finland, Austria, Denmark, Germany, Israel, Switzerland and Canada.
Biliński and Emmanuel said 117,622 deaths would have been lower if the United States had a mortality rate comparable to Canada since the outbreak of the pandemic.
Bilinski and Emanuel classified South Korea, Japan and Australia as low-mortality countries, with less than five deaths from the coronavirus per 100,000. Studies show that if the US mortality rate is comparable to Australia since the pandemic began, the death toll will be 187,661 less.
“Few people will forget the 2020 pandemic.”
This study had some limitations. One limitation of this study included differences in mortality risk between countries. For example, “the population of the United States is young, but there are more comorbidities than in other countries,” the researchers write.
Bilinski and Emanuel suggest that multiple factors may contribute to US mortality during a pandemic, including weak public health infrastructure and inconsistent pandemic response in the United States.
JAMA editors Boschner and Fontanarosa wrote in an editorial: “Few people forget about the 2020 pandemic.
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