Health
New studies estimate that age does not contribute to COVID-19 susceptibility
Representative image.
(IANS)
Scientists estimate that an individual’s age does not indicate a potential infection with COVID-19, but symptom onset, disease progression, and mortality are age-dependent.
The continued pandemic of COVID-19 has resulted in many deaths, and older people have been shown to develop disproportionately severe symptoms and show higher mortality.
A research team at Hokkaido University in Japan modeled data available from Japan, Spain, and Italy, and found that susceptibility to COVID-19 is age-independent, but the incidence, severity, and mortality of symptomatic COVID-19. Indicates that it may be age dependent.
“There are two possible causes of death in the elderly. One is the possibility of infection due to old age, which is reflected in the number of cases. The other is affected by the severe form. It’s possible. It’s an old-age illness, which is reflected in mortality. “
In the study, it was published in the journal’Science report‘, Scientists have chosen to analyze data from Italy, Spain and Japan to determine if there is any relationship between age, susceptibility and severity.
These three countries were selected because of their well-recorded and publicly available data. As of May 2020, the mortality rate (deaths per 100,000) was 382.3 in Italy, 507.2 in Spain and 13.2 in Japan.
However, despite the large differences in mortality, the age distribution of mortality (proportional to deaths by age group) was similar in these countries.
Scientists have developed mathematical models to calculate the susceptibility of each age group under a variety of conditions.
They also took into account the estimated person-to-person contact levels of each age group and the various restricted levels of out-of-home activities in the three countries.
The model showed that susceptibility should vary unrealistically between age groups, assuming age does not affect severity and mortality.
On the other hand, the model should not affect susceptibility, but adversely affect severity and mortality, to explain the fact that the age distribution of mortality is similar among the three countries. Showed that there is.
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