Politics
Will COVID-19 take Xi Jinping and the Chinese PC?
The coronavirus epidemic that has spread from China has so far left more than 3,000 dead and 90,000 infected worldwide. It is a pandemic. Even if the World Health Organization, which nevertheless defines it as "the worldwide spread of a new disease", hesitates to call him by name.
Probably out of fear of creating global panic. The world still remembers the devastating flu pandemic of 1918, which, according to the Institut Pasteur, killed 50 million people.
What is even more worrying is that several cases reported around the world have an unclear chain of human-to-human transmission. Hopefully the coronavirus does not become endemic, which would mean that it circulates permanently in humans.
In any event, the epidemic is a test of the governance of Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party. "It reveals the rotten heart of the regime," dared to write law professor Xu Zhangrun before being silenced. He says the crisis reveals the systemic impotence of the regime.
For the propaganda organs of Beijing, the crisis demonstrates, on the contrary, the efficiency of the Chinese authoritarian system and its leader, Xi Jinping, the most influential Chinese leader since Mao. The danger for Xi Jinping is that as the virus spreads around the world, his credibility and that of China's governance system will be called into question.
Will the Chinese Communist Party know its "Chernobyl moment"?
I use the expression to the head of the British newspaper office The Guardian in beijing, Lily Kuo, who released an excellent analysis on the issue. The expression "Chernobyl moment" refers to the attempt by the Soviet leaders to conceal this nuclear disaster. By undermining the regime's credibility, the revelation of its lies to hide and then minimize such an appalling disaster contributed to the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Will coronavirus have a similar effect on the future of Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party? What started out as a public health crisis in China has now turned into a political crisis. Communist administration in China survived 1989 Tien An men unrest and appears unaffected excessively unrest that has plagued Hong Kong for months. But this time, the PC is confronted with an angry reaction from the Chinese public when it presents itself as a leader in the global fight against the virus: it has silenced the whistleblowers; it withheld crucial information and downplayed the threat posed by the coronavirus, allowing the epidemic to spread across the country and spread worldwide.
China is currently extremely sensitive about its image. She has just expelled three journalists from Wall street journal because the newspaper published an opinion piece that presented China as the "sick man of Asia" with its financial markets even more dangerous than its uncontrolled open-air game markets that cause the virus.
Beijing reacted by calling the expression a racist insult and saying that the media that smeared China would pay the price.
Tsar Nicolas Ist of Russia had called the Ottoman Empire the sick man of Europe in the XIXe century and, for the past 50 years, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Portugal, Greece and Italy have been, in turn, described as the "sick man of Europe" without anyone crying out about racism.
The Chinese Communist Party is concerned about lasting damage to its reputation caused by the coronavirus, both in China and abroad. With reason.
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