But attention may soon shift elsewhere as corporate earnings season rolls around, distracting attention from the economy and the unknowns ahead.
What’s happening: S&P 500 earnings are expected to be up 22.4% year over year in the last three months of 2021, according to Refinitiv. It would be a good performance.
In a note to clients on Friday, UBS said despite a volatile start to the year, it doesn’t believe a more hawkish Fed will “derail” the stock market rally, and that earnings season will “bring investors’ attention back. on solid fundamentals. “
“We believe the worst is behind us,” CEO Ed Bastian said in an interview with CNBC on Thursday.
The KBW banking index has jumped almost 12% since the start of the year, while the S&P 500 has fallen more than 2%.
These banks will have to prove that they are worthy of the recent influx of liquidity. The lucrative loan fees and investment banking fees are expected to earn them.
“JPMorgan Chase reported strong results across our businesses, benefiting from elevated capital markets activity and a recovery in lending activity, the company-wide average lending up 6%,” CEO Jamie Dimon said in a statement.
Counter-programming: Federal Reserve officials made it clear this week that they see three interest rate hikes in 2022 as the benchmark, but could do more to combat prices that are rising at the fastest pace fast for 39 years.
“Our monetary policy aims to bring inflation down to 2% while maintaining a recovery that includes everyone,” said Lael Brainard, who was chosen to be the second Fed official, during her confirmation hearing on Thursday. . “This is our most important task.”
Christopher Waller, a Fed governor, told Bloomberg TV that the number of rate hikes will depend on “what inflation looks like in the second half of the year.”
“If it continues to be high, the case will be made for four, maybe five rides,” Waller said.
Such remarks could force investors to continue reassessing their portfolios in the coming weeks, as rising interest rates will hurt the high-growth stocks that Wall Street has favored during the pandemic.
Companies react to decision on vaccine mandate
The U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday blocked President Joe Biden’s vaccine and testing requirement aimed at big business, a blow to White House attempts to use the power of the federal government to fight coronavirus. Covid-19 pandemic.
Remember: the president has been stressing the importance of getting vaccinated against the virus for months. Eventually, he chose to use the Big Employer Mandate as his main vehicle to push vaccine-hesitant Americans.
But the Supreme Court sent a clear message that the Occupational Safety and Health Administration, charged with protecting workplace safety, had exceeded its authority.
The business groups had been split over the mandate. On Thursday, some welcomed the Supreme Court’s ruling while others said they would respect the ruling.
The National Retail Federation said it had “maintained a strong and consistent position related to the importance of vaccines in helping overcome this pandemic”. But he called the Supreme Court’s decision “an important victory for employers”, worrying about hurdles and additional compliance costs.
The influential Business Roundtable, for its part, said last year in response to the mandate that it commended “the Biden administration’s continued vigilance in the fight against Covid.” He noted that many companies had already implemented vaccination mandates themselves.
On Thursday, he said he respected the Supreme Court ruling.
“While companies may take different approaches depending on their unique circumstances and the diversity of their workforce, the safety of employees and customers remains paramount, and efforts to promote vaccination will not diminish,” CEO Joshua Bolten said in a statement.
The first big IPO of the year is a success
Shares of private equity firm TPG jumped 15% on their first day of trading on Thursday, sending a positive signal to companies debating whether to go public in early 2022.
The latest: Demand was strong for shares of TPG, whose IPO raised $1 billion. The shares closed at $34 each, giving the company, which was founded in 1992 and manages about $109 billion in assets, a market value of $10 billion. His investments include Airbnb, Spotify, fitness channel Crunch and Vice Media.
Attention will now turn to other companies like Turo, the car-sharing platform that filed for an IPO earlier this week. Its listing will be a key test for startups that have thrived during the pandemic but now need to prove their business models can hold up through the next phase of the business cycle.
The company is often advertised as Airbnb for cars. This has generated hype as people rethink vehicle ownership, especially at a time when car prices are skyrocketing.
Turo, which was founded in 2010, said in its IPO filings it generated more than $330 million in revenue in the first nine months of last year, an increase of 207% compared to 2020. But its losses have also increased.
Also today :
- US retail sales for the December release at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey for January arrives at 10 a.m. ET.
Coming next week: Before the bell rings on Monday, when US markets are closed. We’ll be back on Tuesday when BNY Mellon, Goldman Sachs and Truist release their results.
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