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Global Trends, Crude Oil, FII Movement, Key Stock Drivers This Week: Analysts
Stock markets will be driven by global trends, the movement of crude oil and foreign institutional investment this week, analysts said, adding that benchmarks could also face volatility amid the expected monthly expiration of stocks. derivatives.
Separately, the development of the rupiah and the progress of the monsoon would also be watched by investors, they added.
“Indian markets managed to recover from lower levels after two weeks of steep declines on the back of a rally in global markets and lower commodity prices. It looks like this recovery may see further extension and we can expect a decent recovery in the coming days in the equity markets,” said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd.
“Besides the F&O expiry, monthly auto sales figures and the developing monsoon will be important triggers,” Meena said. Crude oil, the movement of the rupee and the behavior of FIIs will be other important factors, he added.
Ajit Mishra, Vice President – Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said: “We expect volatility to remain high this week as well, thanks to the expected expiration of derivatives contracts in June.” “In addition, the performance of global indices, especially the US, the movement of crude and the progress of the monsoon etc. will remain on the radar. This week also marks the start of a new month, so auto numbers will also start pouring in from July 1,” Mishra added.
The 30-stock BSE Sensex jumped 1,367 points or 2.66% last week after two consecutive weeks of losses. The wider Nifty gained 405.75 points or 2.64%.
Yesha Shah, Head of Equity Research, Samco Securities, said: “There are a host of events happening this week that could affect the mood of the market. Globally, investors will be looking closely at the quarterly US GDP growth rate numbers. In India, vehicle sales figures will continue to fuel stock-specific moves on D-Street as investors try to decipher the future trend, Shah said, adding that the monthly F&O expiration in the second half of the week could lead to index volatility.
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