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Pakistan Stock Exchange records highest single-day gains – OpEd – Eurasia Review

Pakistan Stock Exchange records highest single-day gains – OpEd – Eurasia Review

 


Over the past week, the market lost ground in the first two days amid rumors of potential increases in capital gains tax (CGT) due to which the KSE100 index remained bearish and reached the level of 72,589 before showing signs of recovery on Wednesday. The market recovered quickly after the announcement of the federal budget for FY25. The tax measures introduced in the budget were not as adverse as initially expected. On Thursday, the index gained 3,410 points, the most in a single day, and closed at the 76,706 level on Friday, reaching the highest closing level on record, with a gain of 2,952 points, up 4 % on WoW.

Despite initial concern over the proposed tax changes, the market has recovered, reflecting investor confidence amid pre-budget uncertainty. The week also saw the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announce a first symbolic rate cut of 150 basis points, reinforcing the positivity.

As the inflation outlook improves, yields at the latest Treasury auction have fallen.

Overall, average trading volumes decreased 3.8% to 409.6 million shares, compared to 423.3 million shares a week ago.

On the currency front, PPR depreciated by 0.11%WoW to close at 278.51/US$.

Other major news of the week include: 1) RPK 9 billion approved to offset WTO PDCs, 2) ECC allowed conditional export of 0.15 million tonnes of sugar, 3) in the budget of FY25, the government announced that it will increase the tax to GDP ratio to 13%, 3) the government also announced the issuance of US $1 billion bonds and obtaining loans 4 billion US dollars from foreign banks, 4) FY25 budget aimed to increase PKR 3.8 trillion in new taxes and, 5) World Bank projected Pakistan's GDP growth at 2, 3%.

According to AKD Securities, commercial banks, pharmaceuticals, oil and gas exploration companies, oil and gas marketing companies and paper and paperboard were among the best performing sectors, while laggards included composite textiles, wool, leasing companies, food and personal care products and textile spinning. .

Significant net sales were recorded by individuals with a net sale of US$8.9 million. Mutual funds absorbed the majority of the sales with a net purchase of US$11.1 million.

The best performing scripts of the week were: BAFL, MCB, NCPL, UBL and KOHC, while the laggards included: ILP, PTC, YOUW, COLG and 5) PGLC.

The post-budget market has gained some certainty, particularly in sectors that have benefited from fiscal measures. With the start of monetary easing, optimism is expected to increase, particularly in cyclical sectors.

Furthermore, the approval of the budget paves the way for the next IMF program, which will likely become an important market catalyst in the future.

Sources

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2/ https://www.eurasiareview.com/16062024-pakistan-stock-exchange-records-highest-single-day-gains-oped/

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