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Narendra Modi and his government should learn from this.

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The virus passes through our bodies, killing thousands of people, crushing our modest healthcare system, causing crippling shortages of doctors, nurses, drugs and even oxygen. While we said last week that this is the biggest crisis in Narendra Modi’s government, it has only worsened since. It threatens to get bigger over the next few weeks.

We know most of the things that a strongman leader in a democracy, from Donald Trump to Jair Bolsonaro, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Benjamin Netanyahu to Narendra Modi, invariably knows. They all talk to the base, and as long as the base is happy, they keep winning. Or win quite often.

Growing up in parallel with the crisis will be a call for unity, and clamors like, now is not the time for a blame game. In this great, great national crisis, we should all shut up and put our shoulders to the wheel. But in a democracy, politics does not stop, neither does political analysis and questioning

There are also things a strong man never does. He never admits, for example, a failure, a failure, anything that looks like a defeat, however small, or that he made a mistake. You should never seem to blink.

For months, epidemiologists, virologists, immunologists and public health experts had warned that the fight against the pandemic was not over, that better data was needed and that precautionary measures were warranted. They went unnoticed. Their arguments did not match the government’s narrative that the pandemic was under control. Biophysicist Gautam Menon, for example, has consistently opposed flawed assumptions in national model simulations and denounced the fact that there were no epidemiologists on the committee overseeing them.

The base adores him precisely because they believe him to be infallible. He doesn’t expect him to say, sorry my friends, I was wrong. That would be to admit that you are another human being, not a divine figure or an avatar. That’s why everything you start should end in victory and be hailed as a masterstroke. Until March, the government repeatedly boasted that the results of serological surveys and India’s leading computer model predicting the spread of the disease showed the country to be in the end of the pandemic. By then, shopping malls, restaurants and theaters had reopened across the country. At the Delhi border, farmers demonstrated against the new agricultural laws. Government ministers welcomed the large political gatherings. And as millions gathered at the Kumbh Mela festival in April, the chief minister of Uttarakhand state said the Ganges, considered sacred by Hindus, will protect everyone from the coronavirus. Already the cases of India were booming; as of April 27, the daily count exceeded 353,000 cases, a world record.

Throughout 2020, Anthony Fauci, director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, has firmly stated sobering facts that go against the anti-science messages of the President’s administration. then, Donald Trump. In Brazil, scientists have spoken out against President Jair Bolsonaros’ anti-science stance. Governments don’t always take researchers into account, and in countries like India, chief scientists could lose their jobs because of dissent. This means that many are more comfortable following the government’s line than playing a Fauci. Indian science academies continue their approach with their heads in the sand, making no statements on super-spreader events or access to data. But it is important that top researchers and companies have their say.

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  • Narendra Modi and his government should learn from this.
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