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GOP may be feeling blissful about 2022, but Trump remains an unpredictable wildcard




A year ago today, Donald Trump was three weeks away from his post-defeat Im Not Crying Youre Crying revenge tour, and the Republican herd was nervous. They knew this predator all too well. Trump feasted on the flesh of friend and foe with equal pleasure, he barely seemed to sleep, and with a dreaded insignificance staring him in the face (with the possibility of poverty and jail) he was more motivated than ever.

Attack attacks on govt. Brian Kemp of Georgia and Mike DeWine Ohio, both contenders for re-election in 2022, have raised wider concerns within the party that he will use his post-presidency to take revenge on perceived enemies and enter the races. in a way that is not helpful. , Politico reported on November 22, 2020. Trump’s intrusions into Georgia and Ohio provide a first test case of how he could use his stranglehold on the Conservative base to control the party long after he leaves the White House. It doesn’t matter that Trump is no longer in power: cross him and you will pay.

A year later, the GOP appears to be on the rise for all intents and purposes. The rise of the COVID-19 Delta variant has staggered the country’s economic and social recovery from the pandemic, and people appear to be casting their exhaustion and frustration on the ruling party. A disorderly withdrawal from Afghanistan and a revolt by conservative Democrats against President Bidens’ national program opened the floodgates to the media’s favorite trope: Dems in Disarray.

A wide array of poll data shows Republicans lead Democrats in the next terms of 2022, and recent Virginia-wide election victories, where Biden won 10 points a year ago, further suggests that the GOP has significant political momentum as the holiday season approaches.

Republicans should be surrounded by smiles; each time a party has been so positioned a year before the mid-terms, that party has won seats at the time of the vote. Why then do frowning eyebrows obscure their festive spirit?

As the nation’s Republican governors met this week, there was an unmistakable party air in conference halls and cocktail parties marking their annual post-election conference, reports The New York Times. Virginia governor-elect Glenn Youngkin was flooded with supporters and favor-seekers who believed his victory in a liberal-leaning state provided the party with a roadmap for next year’s midterm elections. Out of earshot of reporters and donors gathering among the palm trees and cacti of Arizona Biltmore Resort, however, a more sober, less triumphant, and all-too-familiar conversation was taking place between the governors: what could be done. about Donald J Trump?

A year after Republicans worried about Trump’s attacks on Kemp and DeWine, the former president has stepped up his efforts by an order of magnitude. Trump-inspired laws designed to thwart voters of color have been passed in more than a dozen states, and Trump loyalists have been seated in state offices across the country, securing positions that may affect them. make it possible to determine the outcome of the 2024 election regardless of what voters say.

His attacks on his fellow Republicans, those who voted to impeach him, those who voted in favor of the Bidens infrastructure bill, and those who did not kiss his ring with slobbery enough speed find themselves in fights. primaries with Trump-endorsed QAnon candidates who have as much government business as a hammerhead shark in a public swimming pool.

Trump has the power to overturn an election, and a number of the people he hates are current Republican incumbents.

Trump doesn’t even need an election-sized grudge to free the dogs from personal vengeance. He is currently trying to oust Republican Alabama Governor Kay Ivey because he wrongly blames her for a canceled rally this summer. Ivey, a longtime statewide public servant, has served as governor since 2017 and is a reliable Trump supporter, Insider reports. In May 2018, the governor signed a letter calling for the then president to receive the Nobel Peace Prize for his diplomatic efforts with North Korea and South Korea. NOT GOOD ENOUGH, with his head.

Strengths, the scattered shredding of incumbents in his own party, as well as his tendency to support candidates who (to put it mildly) don’t stand up to scrutiny, are unsuitable for the old guard. This is outrageous, unacceptable and bad for the party, raged Republican Gov. Larry Hogan of Maryland, who then unequivocally denounced what he calls Trump cancels culture.

Chris Sununu, the Republican governor of New Hampshire, said on Sunday that the actions of Trump and his congressional allies were ruining America. Chris Christie, former Republican governor of New Jersey, recently told his GOP allies they must give up conspiracy theories and truth deniers who have been the headwinds filling Trump’s sails. Small revolutions like these, according to The Atlantics Peter Nicholas, may appear to indicate that Trump’s grip on the Republican Party is starting to crumble.

Don’t hold your breath. Donald Trump feeds on spotlights like plants feed on sunlight, and if he feels he is missing even a lumen, he will grind the grain needed to retrieve it. Right now, more and more spotlight is on Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and Trump is getting more and more enraged by the day. DeSantis, an apparent frontrunner for the GOP presidential nomination if Trump chooses not to run in 2024, was defended by the former president only a year ago. Now Trump is demanding that DeSantis abandon any idea of ​​a presidential candidacy.

Trump reproaches are so common because he crashes them in the hope that they will return to DeSantis, Politico reports. Trump has told his advisers that DeSantis has privately assured him that he won’t show up if Trump does, but that’s not enough for the former president, he wants DeSantis to say so in public. Why? If you’re listening to Trump, it’s because DeSantis was not loyal to him, the former president who (according to this former president) made DeSantis what he is.

Democrats have swung from crisis to crisis this summer and fall, sustaining more than a few self-inflicted injuries along the way, and the media echo chamber has done them a disservice. Republicans look set to make big gains next year at the federal and state levels, in large part thanks to a gerrymandering effort that would make Huey Long throw up in his hat.

Still, they have The Fear, and his name is Donald. The former and future president has a huge campaign treasure, and millions of people follow his every word as if his proclamations and denunciations were carved on stone tablets. Trump has the power to overturn an election, and a number of the people he hates are current Republican incumbents.

Democrats may be in disarray, but the GOP faces nothing less than an existential crisis over the next two election seasons. Any long-term plan with Trump involved promises to be a clinic of chaos.

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