Nancy Pelosi’s visit Taiwan opened an international crisis, accompanied by threats of military action on the part of the Chinese. The fear is that Xi Jinping soon decides to invade the island, but according to Professor Renzo knights, a sinologist at Ca’ Foscari University in Venice, this is not the right time. “Of course Xi wants Taiwan like Putin wanted Crimea – said a The day – but he has no urgency to invade, he can wait. He knows it’s only a matter of time.
So how do you explain Beijing’s heavy-handed reaction to Pelosi’s trip? “It was considered a intolerable interference in internal affairs – explained Professor Cavalieri – the government of Xi Jinping certainly has among its cornerstones a nationalism that involves pressure on the “different Chinas”. Xi feels the weight of the historic mandate to be the reunifier of China, a point on which he does not compromise. And it is therefore understandable that he reacted strongly to the American provocation”.
But why won’t Beijing invade Taiwan soon? “Now it’s a awkward moment for Xi – in the words of Professor Cavalieri – in November the party congress will take place and in March the popular assembly and he will probably be re-elected for the third time. But how he will be re-elected is a crucial question for him. That’s why we can say between now and his re-election that Xi has his nerves exposed.
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