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Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan threatens Xi Jinping’s three-term term

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Xi’s response to the visit and his handling of China-US relations are seen as crucial to his rule, which is set to end next year.

This is also what the senior editor of Nikkei AsiaKatsuji Nakazawa.



In his analysis, Katsuji also pointed out that the Beidaihe annual meeting will be held this week in Hebei Province, China. It was a meeting between leaders and elders of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to discuss various issues. Meetings are held informally and behind closed doors.

Among the national figures Xi will meet, he will also meet former Chinese President Jiang Zemin.

During his tenure 25 years ago, Jiang faced a situation similar to that of Xi, where Newt Gingrich of the US House of Representatives visited Taiwan. Jiang ably managed Gingrich, and relations between China and the United States during his tenure grew considerably.

“Xi’s handling of the situation will definitely be compared to Jiang’s,” Katsuji said.

According to Katsuji, Xi has made various efforts to outdo Jiang and his predecessor, Hu Jintao, throughout his presidency since 2013. Xi has skillfully balanced domestic politics, diplomatic relations with the United States and the Taiwanese dispute.

“If China succeeds in pressuring or pressuring and preventing Pelosi’s trip, Xi could gain confidence in the next Beidaihe meeting,” Katsuji said.

However, he pointed out, Xi has encountered difficulties in handling relations between China and the United States, which were previously close under Jiang’s rule.

Relations with the United States have indeed become an important factor influencing China’s domestic politics. Beijing is also likely to take additional steps to prevent more visits by US officials to Taiwan.

After serving two terms as China’s president, Xi’s moves to maintain his power are becoming more fluid. In 2018, there was the abolition of the rule limiting the mandate of the president to two terms. Then came the CCP resolution that was said to pave the way for Xi to become “president for life.”

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