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Thinking of the military, Pak chooses China rather than the United States

 


Since the world began to point the finger at Beijing for the spread of the coronavirus disease pandemic (Covid-19), Pakistan has done everything possible to express its solidarity with China. Even to the point of refusing to leave its approximately 1,000 students stranded in Wuhan, the epicenter of origin of the epidemic, to return to Islamabad in February. It is no secret that Beijing had asked for the support of all its friends or customers, as some analysts describe relations between China and Pakistan. Islamabad, indebted to China for more than one reason, went even further. China has been wiped out by countries around the world, especially the United States, because of what was widely perceived as gross negligence on the part of China which led to the rapid spread of the disease that infected 11 million people worldwide and killed almost 530,000.

In the cacophony that followed as the countries took sides, Pakistan was naturally the strongest voice in favor of China, despite some unease in foreign policy circles in Islamabad.

Before the world could see the impact of the pandemic, Pakistan was in a comfortable position on the foreign policy front, particularly the Sino-American matrix. He was effectively using his influence on the Taliban to extract concessions from the United States in the task force on the financial surveillance of terrorism. Washington was pedaling gently over Pakistan’s non-compliance with the FATF action plan and had granted it extra time during the Paris plenary in February. The stay, by any measure, was a good indicator of how well the Pakistani foreign ministry had managed a delicate situation.

Much of this effort by Pakistani diplomats to navigate sensitivities in Washington appears to have been canceled as the Pakistani establishment rushed to comply with Beijing’s signals that Prime Minister Imran Khan’s government continues to support him. . World Ministry officials and some in the Prime Minister’s Office were the first to spot Washington’s shift in approach. Officials, including the United States-trained Special Advisor for National Security, Moeed Yusuf and Zulfi Bukhari, trained in the United States, PM Special Assistant for Pakistanis Abroad and HRD, realized that it was impossible to balance relations with Washington and Beijing in the face of the establishment’s inflexibility. and a decades-old mentality characterized by distrust of the West.

The Pakistani army’s tunnel vision and its control over the main aspects of foreign policy have prevented the country from benefiting from the expertise available at home and from developing a pragmatic and non-confrontational foreign policy. At a time when world opinion is strongly against Beijing, Pakistan has chosen to be the devil’s advocate.

As when Foreign Minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi made a statement during his telephone conversation with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi, the Foreign Ministry had to make a pointed reference to underscore Pakistan’s commitment to the “One China policy” and express support for China in its “main interests including Hong Kong, Taiwan, Tibet and Xinjiang”.

In Pakistan, the army occupies a pivotal position whatever the regime in power. He may also have nothing to lose if Pakistan is beset again with people like North Korea. In fact, its critics have argued that the weight of the military on politics and civil life tends to increase proportionally with the marginalization of Pakistan, as does access to material wealth for its leaders.

The military has been the biggest beneficiary of the billions the United States has paid Pakistan in support of the war on terror.

When this well seemed to dry up, he found a voluntary donor in Beijing for whom the Sino-Pakistan economic corridor has become a flagship project in his ambitious Belt and Road initiative. It could also lead Pakistan to a debt trap.

Thousands of Pakistanis have paid with their lives for the establishment’s shortsighted strategy to arm and nurture terrorists and to make terrorism an instrument of foreign policy.

What the new strategy of trying to milk China and CPEC will bring to the Pakistanis, only time will tell. Top foreign ministry officials can visualize the implications for Pakistan, such as the increased possibility of being blacklisted by the FATF if it fails to follow its action plan.

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