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Analysis: 3 very bad weeks for Trump after losses and legal setbacks

Analysis: 3 very bad weeks for Trump after losses and legal setbacks

 


Donald J. Trump’s unusually early announcement of a third presidential campaign was partly intended to clear the Republican field for 2024, but his first three weeks as candidate have undermined that goal, underscoring his vulnerabilities and giving considerable ammunition to those in the GOP who were vying to turn the page on him.

Since emerging from the November election with a string of humiliating losses to prove for his claims to be a midterm kingmaker, Mr Trump has entertained a leading white supremacist and anti-Semitic celebrity at his mansion of South Florida.

He suggested suspending the Constitution that a president swears to preserve, protect and defend as a continuation of his longstanding lie that the 2020 election was stolen from him.

His company has just been convicted of 17 counts in a tax evasion case in New York.

And his hand-picked candidate for the Georgia Senate Herschel Walker, the soccer star Mr Trump employed during a brief stint as the owner of a professional soccer team in the 1980s was defeated on Tuesday night after a campaign that will be remembered as a series of scandals. and self-inflicted injuries.

Extending his streak of self-sabotage, Mr. Trump himself spent Tuesday night entertaining another fringe figure, posing for thumbs-up photos at his club with conspiracy theorist QAnon and Pizzagate, ABC reported. News.

For Mr Trump, the losses and embarrassments are mounting fast, heightening long-standing worries among fellow Republicans that his 2016 victory may have been an aberration and that his persistence in a comeback bid could dash hopes. parties to recover the White House in 2024. .

I know a lot of people in our party love the former president, Sen. Mitt Romney said on Capitol Hill on Wednesday, in response to Mr. Walkers’ defeat. But hes, if you will, the kiss of death for someone who wants to win a general election. And at some point we have to move on and look for new leaders who will lead us to victory.

Understanding the Georgia Senate Runoff

Scott Reed, a veteran Republican strategist and former senior adviser to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, called the past three weeks devastating for Trump’s future viability.

His hasty announcement, severe legal setbacks and the defeat of his hand-picked Senate nominees, which once again cost the GOP control of the Senate, have raised serious concerns among his donors and supporters, Mr. .Reed.

The abandonment, he added, has begun.

It is too early to weigh the long-term effects on Mr. Trump’s latest candidacy of the current string of defeats and denunciations, especially given his long track record of controversy.

His rise mirrored and accelerated the ascendancy of the Republican Party’s right wing, and with a strong GOP quarter or more still firmly in his corner, he remains a clear frontrunner in the polls of potential Republican nominees. But it’s unclear whether Mr Trump will be able to replicate his much broader coalition call that won him an upset victory in 2016.

It was an inauspicious start for Mr. Trump, who has now led Republicans to defeat or disappointment in three consecutive election cycles.

Ignoring most of his advisers, Mr. Trump opted to announce his campaign a week after the midterm election, counting on a strong result for Republicans. Instead, the GOP barely captured the House and failed to take the Senate, prompting many party members to blame Mr. Trump for endorsing flawed candidates and pushing them to accept his lies about the 2020 election.

Updated

December, February 7, 2022, 7:01 p.m. ET

Had we taken the Senate and House by a healthy majority instead of a narrow margin, it would have paved the way for Trump to get the nomination and wrap it up quickly, said Committee Arizona member Lori Klein Corbin National Republican. Now we just don’t know.

Mr. Trump has not held any campaign events since entering the race, has yet to appoint people to key campaign posts and has not established a campaign headquarters. He was largely held at Mar-a-Lago, attending only a few public events remotely, such as a rally by phone for Mr Walker in Georgia.

Yet Mr. Trump found time to dine Nov. 22 with Kanye West, the rapper whose endorsement Mr. Trump had repeatedly sought as president, and who had been widely denounced for a series of anti-Semitic comments, and with white supremacist Nick Fuentes. , notorious racist and Holocaust denier. (And when his former ambassador to Israel, David M. Friedman, was among those chastising him, Mr. Trump responded by privately complaining that Mr. Friedman had shown disloyalty.)

In a statement, Steven Cheung, Mr. Trump’s senior communications adviser, dismissed questions about the start of the campaign, calling Mr. Trump the single and most dominant political force and insisting that everything was going according to plan. .

Were focused on building the operation and laying a foundation to carry out an overwhelming campaign that had never been seen before, Mr Cheung said. Let’s build teams in early voting states and ensure we are positioned to win at every level.

Mr. Trump’s losing streak includes serious legal setbacks.

His four-year effort to block congressional Democrats from obtaining his tax returns ended in defeat in the Supreme Court, and the House Ways and Means Committee said Nov. 30 that he had won the access to six years of his statements. A federal appeals court on Dec. 1 ended a lawsuit brought by Mr. Trump who had, for nearly three months, stalled an investigation into whether he was illegally keeping national security records in Mar- a-Lago.

Then, in New York on Tuesday, a jury returned guilty verdicts against Mr. Trump’s family business on all 17 counts related to a tax evasion scheme, detailing what prosecutors called a culture of fraud. and deceit in the business that bears his name.

Mr. Walkers’ defeat Tuesday night in his runoff with Senator Raphael Warnock, a Democrat, was a final blow to capping Mr. Trump’s miserable year as a political mastermind.

Mr Trump had pressed Mr Walker to run and endorsed him early on, disregarding Republicans in Washington who urged caution before anointing Mr Walker given allegations of domestic abuse in his past . Mr Trump was adamant that Mr Walker would prevail, just as Mr Trump himself had weathered his own scandals.

But while Mr Walker kept the race surprisingly close, given the crushing headlines about the previously undisclosed children he had fathered and the abortions he allegedly urged romantic partners to obtain, he lost nearly 100,000 votes and the Democrats secured a valuable 51st seat in the Senate.

Julianne Thompson, a Republican consultant in Atlanta and a former state GOP spokeswoman, said overall midterm results in Georgia, where voters rejected Trump-endorsed candidates for Senate, governor, secretary of state and the attorney general, showed that many people question the leadership of the party.

There is a large part of the Republican Party that is ready to move on, she said.

More broadly, Mr. Trump’s terrible, horrible, not good, very bad three weeks seem to have called into question whether his apparent insensitivity to the normal rules of political gravity could finally wear off.

People see what’s happening and will interpret it as weakness and as an opportunity to challenge President Trump, said Michael Barnett, the Republican chairman of Palm Beach County, Florida. I don’t think his influence has waned that much, if at all, but he’s going to have opponents.

Emily Cochrane contributed reporting.

Sources

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2/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/07/us/politics/donald-trump-republicans-turmoil.html

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