Connect with us


As Erdogan poised to stay in power, Israel has reason to back its former foe

As Erdogan poised to stay in power, Israel has reason to back its former foe


Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan appears to have overcome what is probably the most serious challenge to his rule to date. Although Turkey’s economy is in tatters and its politics made February’s massive earthquakes even more deadly, its People’s Alliance has protected its parliamentary majority and it looks set to win a runoff on May 28.

Although Erdogan is not a great friend of Israel and has been one of the Jewish state’s most outspoken critics, there is a big reason why Jerusalem is quietly breathing a sigh of relief in the face of the survival of the Islamist.

“After the elections, normalization will be safer than ever,” insisted Batuhan Takis, editor of the Turkish daily Daily Sabah. “We can see that he is very dedicated to pushing this normalization forward.”

If Erdogan does cling to power, Israel will no longer have to worry about the brewing rapprochement between former rivals that could be derailed by a power transition.

While longtime challenger Kemal Kilicdaroglu has little incentive to drastically change Ankara’s recent cooperative stance toward the Jewish state, there are also fears that its foreign policy priorities could unwittingly leave Israel out in the cold.

“We will see more positive ties with the United States, more positive ties with the EU,” Takis said, “but not with the Middle East.”

Kingmaker with 5%

Before the May 14 vote, Erdogan was trailing in the polls compared to pro-Western bureaucrat Kilicdaroglu, and many believed his reign could be coming to an end after 20 years in power.

But those decades in power also mean the president has become a fixture on the Turkish political scene for many. Analysts contacted by The Times of Israel following this week’s inconclusive vote all said they expected Erdogan to be in the lead at the end of the first round and be close to triumph.

Kemal Kilicdaroglu, the 74-year-old leader of the pro-secular center-left Republican People’s Party (CHP), speaks at the party headquarters in Ankara, Turkey, Sunday, May 14, 2023. (AP)

“I’m not surprised by the results,” said Yusuf Erim, editor of Turkish network TRT World. “But there are details that surprised me.”

Among the surprising results, candidate Sinan Ogan won 5% of the vote as he rode a nationalist wave. Kept out of the second round, he instead assumed the role of kingmaker, with his constituents likely to have an outsized impact on whether Erdogan or Kilicdaroglu wins.

Ogan had campaigned on an anti-migrant platform, winning votes from nationalists who also oppose the possibility of Kurdish autonomy in the east, are unhappy with Western moves to counter Ankara’s search for natural gas in the Mediterranean and want to see Turkey move forward with its civilian nuclear projects.

Sinan Ogan, Turkish academician and presidential candidate of nationalist alliance ATA (Ataturk) speaks to the press after a meeting with the leader of Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party, CHP, in Ankara, April 12, 2023. (Adem Altan/AFP)

He did not say which candidate he would support, if any, but seemed to hint at his thought process when he told the press, “Those who don’t distance themselves from terrorism shouldn’t come to us.”

The 55-year-old was referring to Kurdish parties he sees as linked to the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK, which is listed as a terrorist group by the US, EU and Turkey.

Both Erdogan and Kilicdaroglu are allied with Kurdish parties accused of links to extremism. But while Erdogan can probably afford to drop his associations with the Kurdish Islamist Huda Par party, Kilicdaroglu sees the PKK-linked Kurdish People’s Democratic Party (HDP) as one of the coalition’s key allies and needs their support. support for a chance to win.

A woman cries over the rubble of her collapsed house in Yaylakonak village in Adiyaman district, a Kurdish Alevi community village where 108 people died and 170 houses collapsed after an earthquake hit some parts of Turkey and Syria on February 19, 2023. (Bulent Kilic/AFP)

With conservative Ogan voters widely expected to lean heavily towards Erdogan’s camp, Kilicdaroglu’s only real hope of making any gains in the second round is apparently tied to declining pro-government turnout as Erdogan supporters become complacent. But his supporters would still need to seize the rare chance to topple the strongman and turn out in droves at the polls.

It’s long. “Opposition voters are demoralized,” Erim said. “They were shocked by the results of the election.”

Looking west, away from Israel

For Israel, it’s just as well that Erdogan stays in power. Despite his repressive policies, dismal fiscal record and alleged involvement in rampant corruption, Erdogan has been hailed for his navigation of international politics.

Foreign Minister Eli Cohen (L) meets with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara, February 14, 2023 (President of the Republic of Turkey)

“We have problems in the economy, we have problems with the earthquake,” said Turkish journalist Meryem Ilayda Atlas. “Foreign policy is the most successful part.”

In the wake of the Arab Spring, Erdogan has taken a pugnacious posture in the region, sparking fights with Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Greece, France and Israel, among others. But as pro-Islamist forces backed by Ankara dwindled, Erdogan faced growing isolation and severe economic challenges. In recent years, he has charted a new course, including overtures to Egypt, the Gulf States and the EU.

Israel was part of this trend. After more than two years of uneven progress, Israel and Turkey finally agreed in August to restore full diplomatic relations, four years after Ankara humiliated the Israeli envoy as he left the country.

Israel’s Ambassador to Turkey, Irit Lillian (left), presents her credentials to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, December 27, 2022 (Presidency of the Republic of Turkey)

On the other hand, if Kilicdaroglu were to win a surprise victory, his pro-Western position will not necessarily be beneficial to Israel.

Many elements of Kilicdaroglu’s six-party alliance oppose improving ties with the Arab world, preferring to steer Turkey toward the secular West rather than an Arab world they see as backward and inferior.

“Although not directed against Israel, negative ties with countries in the Middle East will also affect ties with Israel,” Takis explained.

As Israel strives to deepen cooperation with Gulf states by participating in regional initiatives such as the Negev Forum and I2U2, a Turkey led by Kilicdaroglu could view these alliances as rival power centers. His ability to act on those beliefs will, however, be limited by Turkey’s parliament, which will be led by the Erdogan-allied bloc that won a majority on May 14.

“The government will be very busy with its own political stalemate,” said Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak, a Turkey researcher at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security. “I don’t see them making radical decisions vis-à-vis Israel.

Criticism of Israel by a secular-nationalist government will likely sound more like Swedish or French pronouncements about the Palestinians and Jerusalem, and less like Erdogan’s vicious profanity about Israeli terrorism and the killing of babies.

Erdogan has since pushed aside that kind of rhetoric as he pursues healthy ties with Israel. His reaction to the recent fighting in Gaza is further proof that he will stay the course on the strategic decision.

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks with Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh during a January 2012 meeting in Istanbul. (Mohammed al-Ostaz/Flash90)

During past violence in Gaza, he lambasted Israel for using anti-Semitic imagery and comparisons to the Nazis. “There is no difference between the atrocities faced by the Jewish people in Europe 75 years ago and the brutality experienced by our brothers in Gaza,” he said following the deadly border clashes in 2018.

However, Erdogan remained silent during the five days of fighting between Israel and Palestinian Islamic Jihad earlier this month, even though verbal attacks on Israel could have endeared him to some of his bases ahead of the crucial election.

Israel’s emergency aid provided after the February earthquakes also did much to improve its image in the country, Erim said.

But that doesn’t mean all will be well for Israel during Erdogan’s supposed next five years in power. There remain fundamental disagreements on the Palestinian question and Hamas continues to operate in Turkey.

Israel can expect the harshest criticism to come not from the president’s office, but from his allies in parliament.

File: Israelis boarding a flight to Turkey during the Passover holiday, April 12, 2009. (Shay Levy/Flash90)

“I don’t foresee any deterioration, although there will be more radical Islamists in parliament,” Cohen said, pointing to the anti-Zionist New Welfare party in the Erdogan coalition.

This will not prevent the expansion of business and tourism between the two regional powers.

With economic recovery being Erdogan’s pressing concern, he is not about to risk losing any of the more than $6 billion in annual exports to Israel. Nor will it drive away the nearly one million Israeli tourists who come each year, with Ukrainians and Russians showing up in reduced numbers due to the ongoing war.

“I don’t see any difference in normalization after the election,” Erim said. “If anything, they will have much easier terms going forward.”




The mention sources can contact us to remove/changing this article

What Are The Main Benefits Of Comparing Car Insurance Quotes Online

LOS ANGELES, CA / ACCESSWIRE / June 24, 2020, / Compare-autoinsurance.Org has launched a new blog post that presents the main benefits of comparing multiple car insurance quotes. For more info and free online quotes, please visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/the-advantages-of-comparing-prices-with-car-insurance-quotes-online/ The modern society has numerous technological advantages. One important advantage is the speed at which information is sent and received. With the help of the internet, the shopping habits of many persons have drastically changed. The car insurance industry hasn't remained untouched by these changes. On the internet, drivers can compare insurance prices and find out which sellers have the best offers. View photos The advantages of comparing online car insurance quotes are the following: Online quotes can be obtained from anywhere and at any time. Unlike physical insurance agencies, websites don't have a specific schedule and they are available at any time. Drivers that have busy working schedules, can compare quotes from anywhere and at any time, even at midnight. Multiple choices. Almost all insurance providers, no matter if they are well-known brands or just local insurers, have an online presence. Online quotes will allow policyholders the chance to discover multiple insurance companies and check their prices. Drivers are no longer required to get quotes from just a few known insurance companies. Also, local and regional insurers can provide lower insurance rates for the same services. Accurate insurance estimates. Online quotes can only be accurate if the customers provide accurate and real info about their car models and driving history. Lying about past driving incidents can make the price estimates to be lower, but when dealing with an insurance company lying to them is useless. Usually, insurance companies will do research about a potential customer before granting him coverage. Online quotes can be sorted easily. Although drivers are recommended to not choose a policy just based on its price, drivers can easily sort quotes by insurance price. Using brokerage websites will allow drivers to get quotes from multiple insurers, thus making the comparison faster and easier. For additional info, money-saving tips, and free car insurance quotes, visit https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ Compare-autoinsurance.Org is an online provider of life, home, health, and auto insurance quotes. This website is unique because it does not simply stick to one kind of insurance provider, but brings the clients the best deals from many different online insurance carriers. In this way, clients have access to offers from multiple carriers all in one place: this website. On this site, customers have access to quotes for insurance plans from various agencies, such as local or nationwide agencies, brand names insurance companies, etc. "Online quotes can easily help drivers obtain better car insurance deals. All they have to do is to complete an online form with accurate and real info, then compare prices", said Russell Rabichev, Marketing Director of Internet Marketing Company. CONTACT: Company Name: Internet Marketing CompanyPerson for contact Name: Gurgu CPhone Number: (818) 359-3898Email: [email protected]: https://compare-autoinsurance.Org/ SOURCE: Compare-autoinsurance.Org View source version on accesswire.Com:https://www.Accesswire.Com/595055/What-Are-The-Main-Benefits-Of-Comparing-Car-Insurance-Quotes-Online View photos


to request, modification Contact us at Here or [email protected]