New polls show Trump leading in 2024 GOP race

May 25, 2023, 3:47 PM UTC

By Mark Murray and Alexandra Marquez

Four different national polls have been released in the past 24 hours, and they all tell the same story about the early race for the Republican presidential nomination.

Former President Donald Trump holds a commanding and growing lead in the GOP field, including his closest rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.

The Marquette Law poll has the former president leading the newly minted nominee by 21 points more than Trump’s 5-point lead in March.

CNN’s poll gives Trump a 27-point lead. (It was a 4-point advantage in March.)

The Quinnipiac University poll had Trump up 31 points. (It was 14 points two months ago.)

And a Fox News poll finds Trump ahead of DeSantis by 33 points. (Trump’s lead over DeSantis was just 5 points in the February Fox News poll.)

The good news for DeSantis is that he is still popular with Republicans. CNN’s poll has a total of 85% of Republicans saying they support him for president (26%) or would consider supporting him (59%), suggesting a potential advantage for Florida governor.

That’s nearly identical to the combined 84% in the poll who say they support Trump (53%) or would consider supporting him (31%).

The bad news for DeSantis is that, against Trump, he outperforms GOP voters who are moderate and have college degrees, not exactly voters who represent the vanguard of the Republican Party today.

According to the Quinnipiacs poll, Trump leads DeSantis by just 1 point among college-educated white Republicans, 38%-37%, and 18 points among GOP moderates, 47%-29%.

But among whites without a college degree, Trump leads DeSantis by 33 points, 58%-25%. And among very conservative Republicans, Trump leads DeSantis by a whopping 45 points, 67%-22%.

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