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Donald Trump receives troubling news in home state poll

Donald Trump receives troubling news in home state poll
Donald Trump receives troubling news in home state poll


Former President Donald Trump's lead over President Joe Biden in the polls appears to be shrinking in his home state of Florida.

Trump, who has officially resided at the Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach since 2019, has won the Sunshine State in each of the last two presidential elections, helping transform Florida from a perennial swing state to a reliably Republican-leaning state .

As polls for the 2024 election cycle continue to give Trump a lead in Florida, a survey released Wednesday by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Main Street Research shows the ex-president has lost half of his lead in the over the last two months.

The new FAU poll gives Trump a four-point lead over Biden, 46% to 42%, in a head-to-head matchup. The April edition of the same poll showed Trump getting 50% of the vote, compared to Biden's 42%.

Former President Donald Trump is pictured during an event in Phoenix, Arizona, June 6, 2024. A poll for the 2024 presidential election released Wednesday found Trump's lead over President Joe Biden in Florida had… Former President Donald Trump is pictured during an event in Phoenix, Arizona, June 6, 2024. A poll for the 2024 presidential election released Wednesday found Trump's lead over the president Joe Biden in Florida had been cut in half. More from Justin Sullivan

Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung said the following in an email to Newsweek when asked to comment on the new poll: “President Trump continues to lead Crooked Joe Biden in both nationally and in battleground states.”

Dukhong Kim, associate professor of political science at FAU, said in a statement that the new poll results “suggest that Biden made modest gains and maintained competition in the nation's largest swing state.”

When respondents were offered the option of selecting independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., support for both Trump and Biden plummeted. The June edition of the poll shows Trump leading with 43% of the vote, while Biden has 37% and Kennedy with 10%.

Trump was in a stronger position in April, when polling showed the former president was favored by 48 percent of Floridians. Biden was favored by 38 percent of respondents in April, with only 7 percent opting for Kennedy.

The poll showed that 18 percent of voters aged 49 and under were willing to support third-party candidates, while only 3 percent of voters over 50 were open to the possibility.

Support for Trump was strongest among white voters without a college degree, with 57% supporting the former president. Black voters were Biden's largest demographic: 68% said they supported the Democratic incumbent.

“The demographic trends we are seeing suggest that Biden's campaign needs to catch up with the Democratic Party's traditional coalition partners — women, young voters, Black voters and Hispanic voters,” Kim said. “But Trump retains his base among white voters, particularly those without college degrees.”

The FAU poll was conducted June 8-9 among 878 adults living in Florida. No margin of error was assigned to the poll.

Several polls released in the weeks following Trump's felony conviction in New York on May 30 suggest Biden is gaining ground on the former president, including in Republican-leaning states in recent years.

Trump secured his narrowest lead over Biden in the polls since November 2023 in Ohio this week, although he still leads the president by 7 points.

A special election for a U.S. House of Representatives seat in the Buckeye State Tuesday night also presented a potential wake-up call for the former president and his party, with a majority-Republican district seeing a swing massive 20 percent toward Democrats.

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

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