Donald Trump's fortunes reversed in two battleground states

Donald Trump lost his marginal lead in two key battleground states, less than five months before the presidential election.

The presumptive Republican presidential nominee is expected to face incumbent President Joe Biden in November, and polls have so far shown that the results of the 2020 White House rematch will be close, with both men statistically tied or not holding only a marginal lead in a number of surveys. .

However, according to the VoteHub tracker, which aggregates the averages of polls by highly rated pollsters that received an “A” or “B” rating over the past 28 days, Trump is now behind Biden in Michigan and Wisconsin in the first time during this period. electoral cycle.

In March, Biden trailed Trump by -3.7 percentage points in Michigan, the vote tracker showed. But after narrowing the gap to 0.7 percent in April, the current occupant of the White House took the lead in May, claiming a one-percentage-point lead over his Republican rival. That figure has now fallen to a 0.8% lead in June, but that's still a slight lead over Trump.

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump at the National Republican Senatorial Committee building in Washington, DC on June 13. Trump is now slightly behind President Joe Biden in Wisconsin and Michigan. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump at the National Republican Senatorial Committee building in Washington, DC on June 13. Trump is now slightly behind President Joe Biden in Wisconsin and Michigan. Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

In 2016, Trump took Michigan, but Biden flipped it blue in 2020. Democrats have won the state in seven of the last eight presidential elections.

Trump apparently lost support in Wisconsin as well. In late May, a Bloomberg/Morning Consult survey of 4,962 registered voters in seven swing states showed that Trump was narrowly leading in that state, with 47% to 46% of the vote.

But according to VoteHub, Biden now leads Trump by 0.2% in Wisconsin. Trump drew criticism last week when he reportedly made negative comments about Milwaukee, Wisconsin's most populous city. Experts have suggested the comments could affect the Republican's chances of success in the state.

Trump won a surprise victory in Wisconsin in 2016, carrying the state by less than 1 percent. In 2020, Biden won Wisconsin with 49.4% of the vote to Trump's 48.8. Before 2016, Democrats had won the previous seven presidential elections in Wisconsin.

Newsweek reached out to representatives for Trump and Biden for comment via email outside of normal business hours.

Polls in battleground states are important because the election will likely be determined by a handful of key states, with the electoral college system awarding each state a certain number of votes based on its population.

A presidential candidate must receive 270 electoral votes to win, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success.

However, with less than five months until election day, it is still too early to proclaim the election results.

On June 27, Biden and Trump are scheduled to face off in Atlanta for the first of two debates scheduled before the November 5 general election.

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

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