Donald Trump endures a terrible election week

Former President Donald Trump has been hit by a series of negative polls this week as the road to the presidential election continues.

The presumptive Republican presidential nominee is expected to face his Democratic opponent, incumbent President Joe Biden, in November, and so far polls have shown that the results of the 2020 White House rematch could be close – both men being statistically tied or holding only a marginal score. leads in a number of investigations.

This week, three polls showed that Trump was now behind Biden. One of them – a Fox News poll of 1,095 registered voters – showed Biden leading Trump with 50% of the vote to the former president's 48%. The new poll results show a three-point change from May, when Trump was ahead by one point, the outlet reported. It's also the first time since October that Biden has been questioned before Trump in a Fox News investigation.

Donald Trump at the Turning Point Action People's Convention in Detroit on June 15. The former president was hit by a series of negative polls this week. Donald Trump at the Turning Point Action People's Convention in Detroit on June 15. The former president was hit by a series of negative polls this week. Photo by Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

The poll, conducted between June 14 and 17, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, meaning the candidates are statistically tied.

Another poll of 10,132 registered voters, conducted by Morning Consult between June 14 and 16, found that 44% would vote for Biden, while 43% would vote for Trump.

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percentage point, so the candidates are also tied in this survey.

A third poll of 1,094 adults, conducted by YouGov between June 11 and 14, found that 41% of respondents intended to vote for Biden, while 39% intended to vote for Trump. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

Newsweek reached out to a Trump representative for comment via email outside of normal business hours.

Although national polls can paint a picture of public opinion, presidential elections are often determined by a handful of key states because the Electoral College system awards each state a certain number of votes based on its population.

A presidential candidate must receive 270 electoral votes to win, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success.

While these recent polls show Trump trailing Biden, others show the former president ahead. With more than four months remaining before voters cast their ballots, it is still too early to predict the outcome of the election.

Christopher Phelps, a professor of modern American history at the University of Nottingham in the United Kingdom, previously told Newsweek that polls would be reduced by November and that it was more important to examine the differences between policy proposals of the two candidates.

“The race will likely continue to tighten, as it typically does, between now and November,” he said. “We can only hope that our news media will begin to move away from the horse racing model of who is ahead, based on polls and models that have at best a mixed record of accuracy, and to focus more on deeper analysis of policy differences so that the public's choice, whatever it may be, is informed.

On June 27, Biden and Trump are scheduled to meet in Atlanta for the first of two debates scheduled before the November 5 presidential election.

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

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