Donald Trump's chances of beating Joe Biden in Virginia, according to polls

President Joe Biden's lead over Donald Trump stands at 2.2% in Virginia, which Biden won by about 10% in 2020, according to RealClearPolling's analysis of recent surveys.

The poll aggregator website included polls it deemed reliable, conducted between Dec. 15, 2023, and June 4, and showed that Biden, 81, averaged 45.5 percent of the vote to 43, 3% for Trump, 78 years old.

Serious concerns have been raised about Biden's candidacy following the first presidential debate of the 2024 election cycle, during which he appeared to stumble verbally and lose his train of thought several times, sparking a “panic” within of the Democratic Party, according to John King, CNN national director. corresponding.

A poll of 1,107 registered voters in Virginia conducted June 1-3 by Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox News showed Biden with 42 percent of the vote, compared to Trump’s 41 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. came in third with 9 percent, followed by 2 percent each for Green Party candidate Jill Stein and People’s Party candidate Cornel West.

However, in a head-to-head matchup between Biden and Trump, the survey found that the two candidates were tied with 48% of the vote each.

A separate survey of 711 likely voters in Virginia by the Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research put Biden ahead by two points, with 40 percent to Trump’s 38 percent. Kennedy followed with 8 percent and Stein with 3 percent.

Donald Trump, left, in Chesapeake, Virginia, on June 28 and President Joe Biden, right, in Atlanta on June 27. Biden has a 2.2 percent lead over Trump in Virginia, according to a recent poll. Donald Trump, left, in Chesapeake, Virginia, on June 28 and President Joe Biden, right, in Atlanta on June 27. Biden has a 2.2 percent lead over Trump in Virginia, according to a recent poll. JIM WATSON/MANDEL NGAN/AFP/GETTY

Once again, the poll finds Biden and Trump tied once the other candidates are eliminated, with each receiving 42% of the vote.

Newsweek reached out to the 2024 Republican and Democratic presidential campaigns for comment via email outside of regular business hours.

In 2020, Biden won Virginia with 54.1% of the vote, to Trump's 44%. The state also supported Hillary Clinton in 2016, giving her 49.7% of the vote, to Trump's 44.4%.

In the aftermath of Thursday's debate, the odds of Biden winning the November election fell 28.2% at a leading online betting site, although his odds later partially recovered. At the same time, the odds of California Governor Gavin Newsom becoming the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee have soared among a number of bookmakers.

Speaking at a rally in South Carolina on Friday, Biden insisted he was fit to seek a second term in the White House, saying: “I know I'm not a young man. State the obvious. I know. I don't walk as easily as I used to. I don't speak as easily as I used to. I don't debate as well as I used to. »

“But I know what I know. I know how to tell the truth. I know right from wrong. I know how to do this job. I know how to get things done. I know, as millions of Americans know, when you get knocked down, you get back up.”

Uncommon knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

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