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Lib Dems confident they can take Tory seats once held by Cameron and Johnson | General Election 2024

Lib Dems confident they can take Tory seats once held by Cameron and Johnson | General Election 2024

 


The Liberal Democrats are increasingly confident they can beat the Conservatives in large parts of southern England, including the two Oxfordshire seats once held by David Cameron and Boris Johnson.

Lib Dem leader Ed Davey spent Sunday campaigning in Bicester, where the party believes it can defeat the Conservative candidate, Rupert Harrison, a highly regarded economist and former adviser to former Chancellor George Osborne.

Davey's visit was part of a strategy that saw the party venture further into safe conservative territory as the campaign progressed, buoyed by polls that show it gaining support in large parts of the south and from the southeast.

A party source said: “We've been really encouraged by what we've seen in the latter part of the campaign. Support for the Conservatives seems to be collapsing in the south of England and we've continued to gain support.

The party went into the election targeting 80 seats, where it finished second in 2019, with almost all the Conservatives holding. But officials say its target list has grown since then. Canvassing returns look better than they were a week ago, and even better than they were two weeks ago, one said.

Internal Lib Dem polls seen by the Guardian suggest elections will be close in Bicester and Woodstock, Didcot and Wantage, Henley and Thame, which includes much of Johnson's old seat, and Witney, the former constituency of Cameron. The party estimates that each of these constituencies could be won by a margin of just 500 seats.

These figures are consistent with national polls which suggest the party gained more than a percentage point during the campaign, while the Conservatives and Labor lost votes. Large-scale MRP models suggest that all pollsters expect the party to win Henley and Thame, but they are split on which party will win Oxfordshire's other three target seats.

The party will spend the final days of the campaign targeting Labour voters in seats where Labour finished third in 2019, hoping to unlock up to 25 seats in a final frantic effort. In addition to the Oxfordshire seats, the party is pouring resources into Theresa May’s former seat of Maidenhead, as well as the south-west seats of Frome and East Somerset, and Torbay.

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2/ https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/30/lib-dems-confident-of-taking-tory-seats-once-held-by-cameron-and-johnson

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