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Donald Trump suffers major blow in polls against Kamala Harris


A new poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump for the first time, as speculation continues to swirl over whether the Democratic Party will replace President Joe Biden as its nominee.

Speculation about a switch has been rife since Biden’s performance in his debate with Trump on June 27, and Harris has always been considered a serious option. She has generally trailed Trump in polls, but one now has her leading with 42% of the vote to Trump’s 41%.

Opinion research firm Bendixen & Amandi conducted 1,000 interviews with registered voters between July 2 and 6 to arrive at its results, which have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, according to Politico.

President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris wait for the start of Independence Day fireworks over the National Mall from the balcony of the White House on July 4 in Washington, D.C…. President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris wait for the start of Independence Day fireworks over the National Mall from the balcony of the White House on July 4 in Washington, D.C. A new poll shows Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical matchup. More AP

A more surprising result saw former Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton edge Trump 43-41, with the Clinton-Harris ticket leading 43-40.

Clinton is not considered a serious option, with speculation focusing on Harris, California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer.

The Bendixen & Amandi poll puts Newsom behind Trump 40-37 and Whitmer a little further behind at 40-36.

Newsweek has reached out to the Biden campaign and the Democratic Party through their press email accounts for comment.

In a leaked video after the Atlanta debate, Trump made it clear he thought he would beat Harris.

“I've had [Biden] “We're out of the running. And that means we have Kamala. I think she's going to be better. She's so bad, she's so pathetic,” he said.

Biden has recently gone to great lengths to quell speculation that he might be replaced. On Monday, he wrote a letter to congressional Democrats, saying that despite all the speculation in the press and elsewhere, he was firmly committed to staying in the race.

“I wouldn't run again if I wasn't absolutely convinced that I was the best person to beat Donald Trump,” he said.

Biden also doesn't appear to be fazed by the polls, telling ABC News' George Stephanopoulos that he's been underestimated before.

“Remember in 2020, the ‘red wave’ was coming,” he said. “Before the vote, I said it wasn’t going to happen, that we were going to win.”

Analysis by CNN senior reporter Harry Enten showed that Biden is in the worst position in the polls, on average, than any Democratic candidate in 24 years.

The last time a Republican led in early July general election polls was in 2000, when George Bush edged Democratic Vice President Al Gore, according to Enten's research.

Polls from early July show Democratic candidates leading in each subsequent election cycle. John Kerry led in 2004, Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, Clinton in 2016, and Biden in 2020.

Uncommon knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.




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