Donald Trump favorite to win the election after the debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance

Donald Trump's chances of winning in November have improved following Tuesday's debate between Senator JD Vance and Governor Tim Walz, with the former president emerging as the favorite, according to a major bookmaker.

Betfair, which had Kamala Harris as the favorite to win the presidency Tuesday before the debate, reversed that trend Wednesday morning and gave Trump a slight lead. Similarly, the chances of a Trump victory in November have been reduced with Paddy Power and Spreadex.

During Tuesday's debate, Vance and Walz faced off in a relatively civil and political event, with the two men clashing over issues such as immigration and gun control. Six Newsweek editors concluded that Vance won the debate, while two thought Walz was successful and four thought it was a tie.

On Tuesday, Betfair offered odds of 20/21 (51.2%) for a Harris victory in the presidential election. As of Wednesday morning, that odds were raised to 21/20 (48.8%), while Trump's odds of victory were 1/1 (50%).

Speaking to Newsweek, Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: “It really is a roller coaster ride in the betting market, the odds have completely reversed again and Donald Trump is back as favorite on BetfairExchange.

“Yesterday, Kamala Harris was only 20/21 to win the November vote, but those odds drifted to 21/20 after the vice president's debate that night.

“With just over a month until the US elections, we can say that the race for the White House is indeed heating up.”

Newsweek contacted representatives of the presidential election campaigns of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris for comment Wednesday morning via after-hours email.

On Tuesday, ahead of the vice presidential debate, Paddy Power was offering 1/1 (50%) odds on Trump's victory, but by 2 a.m. ET on Wednesday, both odds had been reduced to 9/10 (52.6%).

Similarly, Spreadex had odds of 19/20 (51.3%) on a Trump victory on Tuesday, but that improved to 10/11 (52.4%) on Wednesday after the Walz-Vance matchup .

Main image, Vice presidential candidates JD Vance (left) and Tim Walz (right) participate in a debate in New York on October 1, 2024. Inset, Donald Trump speaks in Milwaukee on October 1, 2024. … Main image, Vice presidential candidates JD Vance (left) and Tim Walz (right) participate in a debate in New York on October 1, 2024. Inset, Donald Trump speaks in Milwaukee on October 1 October 2024. The odds of Trump winning the 2024 election have been shortened after Tuesday's debate, according to several bookmakers. More from Chip Somodevilla/Jim Vondruska/GETTY

Trump's odds of victory were also reduced after the Star Sports debate, from 21/20 (48.8%) to 19/20 (51.3%).

Speaking to Newsweek, William Kedjanyi, political betting analyst at Star Sports, said: “It's neck and neck between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump with just over a month until the American public surrenders. at the polls.

“With no clear winner between JD Vance and Tim Walz in last night's vice presidential debate – Vance shaded the victory with CNN and CBS polls – Trump reverted to common favoritism at 19/20 to 21 /20.

“There is now nothing that separates the former president from Democratic candidate Harris, who was only a third at the beginning of September.”

During the debate, Walz revealed, apparently for the first time, that his teenage son had previously witnessed a shooting at a community center.

Vance responded: “Tim, first of all, I didn't know your 17 year old witnessed a shooting, and I'm sorry about that and I hope he's okay. Geez, ouch Please, it’s horrible.”

Walz responded, “I appreciate that.”

During a more heated exchange about the January 6, 2021 riot on Capitol Hill, Walz directly asked Vance to recognize President Biden's 2020 election victory, something the Republican vice presidential nominee refused to do. TO DO.

A CNN snap poll of registered voters who watched the debate found that 51 percent thought Vance was the winner, compared to 49 percent for Walz. The survey had a margin of error of +/- 5.3 points.

Updated 2/24/10, 4:39 a.m. ET: This article has been updated with additional information.

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