Politics
Decoding the India-China patrol agreement: a start, no breakthrough
Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar was unambiguous. India and China have agreed on a patrolling arrangement in Ladakh, he said. Both countries, he added, have returned to the position they held in 2020; and finally, he suggested that the disengagement process can be said to be complete.
These statements were rightly welcomed as a way to break the ice ahead of the BRICS summit in Kazan (Russia) this week. The thaw would allow the first face-to-face meeting between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Xi Jinping, it was suggested, and the two leaders met in Kazan, although the result was disappointing and far to be spectacular.
Now that the details have been revealed, the agreement means that Indian troops will now be able to resume patrolling up to two kilometers in the area held and claimed by China since 2020 after duly informing the Chinese side. Similarly, Chinese troops will be allowed to patrol up to two kilometers in the area held and claimed by India in the disputed area on the Ladakh border. In addition, local herders will be granted grazing rights over two kilometers of Chinese-owned area.
Once this arrangement has established a certain degree of trust, the two sides will begin discussions on the creation of a four-kilometer buffer zone between the positions held by their respective armies. It's unclear how long this process will take, and it could take years, experts say. So what, if anything, did India gain?
Most former diplomats and strategic experts can barely hide their disappointment at the details, but are unanimous in welcoming this positive development. A start has been made and something is better than nothing, that sums up their reaction.
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