Putin and Erdogan, friends enemies in Syria

One spoke, the other did not speak. The fall of the Syrian regime does not have the same flavor in Ankara as in Moscow. As much as it is a victory for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who sees his regional influence strengthened, it also appears to be a major setback for his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, threatened with losing his diplomatic influence in the region and his military bases in Syria. If confirmed, the loss of the latter, in particular of Tartous, Russia's only window on the Mediterranean, could deal a hard blow to the Kremlin's ambition to project its power in the Middle East, the Mediterranean and Africa. “The Russian military presence in the Middle East is hanging by a thread,” warned Russian military blogger “Rybar”, close to the Ministry of Defense and whose Telegram channel has more than 1.3 million views, on December 9. subscribers.

Shrouded in silence, Putin was careful not to comment on the fall of Bashar al-Assad, to whom he had offered asylum in Moscow on December 8, without granting him the slightest audience. Preoccupied with his war in Ukraine, unable to provide the Syrian regime with the necessary weapons and troops, Putin abandoned his oldest ally in the Middle East. “All available forces were focused exclusively on Ukraine. As a result, Bashar al-Assad became a secondary client of Putin,” explained Russian journalist Mikhail Zygar on his Substack blog, Wednesday, December 11.

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