Difficult relations with neighbors, economic difficulties and Imran Khan's “problem”

Pakistan has witnessed a series of terrorist attacks, notably in the troubled provinces of Balochistan and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa in 2024, among the most difficult years for its security forces.

According to information provided to Parliament by the Interior Ministry, 924 people were killed and 2,121 injured in 1,566 terrorist incidents in the first 10 months of the year. At least 573 dead and 1,353 injured belong to law enforcement agencies, including the army.

Economically, Pakistan was on the brink of default in 2022 and was only able to avoid it thanks to the timely intervention of the International Monetary Fund. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif takes credit for successfully bringing the country back from the brink of bankruptcy and turning the economy around.

In 2024, inflation fell to single digits, policy rates were cut from 22.5 to 15 percent, foreign exchange reserves improved, and the stock market saw record gains.

But it was jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan who often made headlines.

In February's elections, independent candidates backed by Khan's party surprised everyone by winning more than 100 of the 226 seats in a hung parliament.

And then the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz created a surprise by nominating Shehbaz Sharif as its candidate for the post of prime minister in place of party leader and three-time former prime minister Nawaz Sharif.

While the PML-N and the Pakistan People's Party reached a power-sharing deal to form a coalition government led by Shehbaz, Khan's Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) decided to sit in opposition.

Khan was arrested in August 2023 following his conviction in a corruption case and has since remained behind bars.

Contrary to expectations, the former cricketer's popularity increased in 2024, proving words spoken before he was ousted as Prime Minister in 2022 after losing a vote of confidence in Parliament that he would be “more dangerous if he were no longer in power”.

Recently, after members of his party staged a march to Islamabad, triggering a crackdown by authorities, Khan threatened his supporters with “massive civil disobedience” if his main demands were not met.

These include the “reestablishment” of the mandate that he believes he obtained during the legislative elections in February to lead the country. His supporters see 2024 as a disaster for electoral politics and democracy, pointing to the “blatant disregard” for popular opinion reflected in the ballots.

Some in power also concede this.

In a recent interview with Dunya News, senior PML-N leader Mian Javed Latif admitted that “we lost the elections.”

Talks began recently between the PTI and the government, but few believe Khan's demand to restore his “stolen mandate” will be met.

Therefore, the country may continue to face strong political headwinds in 2025. While traditional challenges remain intact, the government now faces another: how to tame a “cornered tiger.”

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