As Trump threatens Canada, 'something dangerous is brewing': analyst – National

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's increasingly bold threats against Canada's economy and sovereignty suggest “something dangerous is brewing” and a serious response is needed, according to a U.S. analyst.

David Frum, a writer for The Atlantic who has covered U.S. politics for decades, doesn't believe Trump actually wants to make Canada a U.S. state, but says the fact that the new president continues to repeat the idea means he's considering a kind of aggressive action. .

“If you're living with a mentally unstable partner and they say, 'I'm going to push you down the stairs,' maybe they don't literally mean to push you down the stairs,” Frum told Mercedes Stephenson in an interview broadcast. Sunday in the West Block.

“If he then adds, 'I'm going to cut you up with a knife,' he might not literally want to cut you up with a knife, but you better have a plan because he's going to do something. There is something dangerous brewing that you need to pay attention to.

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“Does he mean a plan of aggression and hostility towards Canada? This is obviously the case.

15:05 Trudeau says there is no chance Canada will merge with the United States despite Trump's threats

Trump stunned international allies last week with a news conference in which he refused to rule out using military action to take control of Greenland from NATO ally Denmark, as well as of the Panama Canal.

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He also said he would use “economic force” to force Canada to join the United States and get rid of the “artificially drawn line” between the two countries, dismissed the need for Canadian imports like cars and dairy products, and once again threatened “tariffs” on Canadian products that would harm the Canadian economy.

Trump did not back down from his threat of 25% tariffs, even though he initially linked it to demands for increased border security, which the Canadian government sought to meet.

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Frum said Canadians should prepare for this “tariff aggression,” which Trump can pursue with several unilateral actions, including declaring a national emergency to justify them.

0:49 Trudeau on the prospect of Canada becoming the 51st US state: “It’s not going to happen”

He added that Canada would also be hurt by Trump's aggression toward its Latin American allies, particularly Mexico.

Trump and Vice President-elect JD Vance have said they want to deploy the U.S. military against Mexican drug cartels and stop the flow of dangerous narcotics into the United States, which could be considered an act of war.

Canada could also soon see the arrival of thousands of people fearing deportation from the United States and seeking refuge from Trump's promised crackdown on illegal residents and immigration, Frum said.

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“The migratory threat that now looms in North America concerns people leaving the United States for Canada,” he said.

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“If you can get to the border and cross on foot, you can benefit from Canada's more lenient rules. »

Frum said Trump and his inner circle have a “much more entrenched animosity” toward U.S. allies and institutions heading into his second term, which will require a different approach from the Canadian government.

2:12 Canadian businesses prepare for 'huge expenses' linked to tariff war

While Frum believes that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his government “did a good job” managing relations with the United States during Trump's first term by making some concessions while mobilizing their allies, “I don't know (if) this strategy will work again.”

“During (Trump's first term), messing up North America wasn't a big priority for Trump, whereas (during his second term) it actually was,” he said.

“He does not believe in collective security. He believes in dominance and dominance, and he wants the United States to dominate because that’s the only relationship he can understand.”

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Whoever succeeds Trudeau as prime minister, who has announced his intention to resign after a new Liberal leader is chosen in March, will have to be prepared to consider all potential responses to Trump, no matter how “crazy” they may be. they.

“You have to get a dozen very experienced Ottawa and provincial civil servants and national security officials into a room and say, 'There are no limits here, I want to hear your ideas,'” he said. he declared.

“Conciliation, concessions, collaboration with partners, that's plan A. But you really need a plan B made up of much more radical ideas that say: 'You know what? This president may not be interested in conciliation and may not be someone who can be appeased by concessions.'”

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