Politics
Turkey's demographic and economic ambitions under Erdoan – Sri Lanka Guardian
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoan, now entering his third decade in power, continues to demonstrate a remarkable appetite for influence. As he approaches his 71st birthday, Erdoan declared 2025 “the year of the family”, unveiling his intention to revive Turkey's flagging birth rate. As reported The Financial Timeshis policies reflect a broader intersection between social, economic and foreign policy ambitions, amid the country's long-standing challenges.
Erdoan's speech, reminiscent of Russian President Vladimir Putin's 2024 announcement of a similar year for the family, underscores the link between population size and national power. As Turkey faces a fertility rate of 1.51, well below the replacement level of 2.1, Erdoan has expressed concern over the shrinking population and its potential impact on the global position of the population. Turkey. He also pointed to the growing financial burden of extravagant weddings, suggesting simpler ceremonies in line with Islamic teachings.
However, The Financial Times The analysis highlights that Turkey's demographic challenges are not only the result of cultural factors but also economic difficulties, particularly following high inflation, which rises to over 44% in December 2024. Economic hardship, combined with inflation and political interventions, has created a difficult environment for young families considering having children.
The article further discusses Erdoan's change in economic policies. After a series of unorthodox measures during the election campaign, such as keeping interest rates low, Erdoan's government has since adopted more conventional economic strategies. This pivot helped stabilize Turkey's finances and led to an improvement in its credit rating. Yet the country's long-term economic health remains uncertain, particularly given persistent inflationary pressures.
An important part of Erdoan's domestic strategy involves resolving the Kurdish question, a long-standing problem in Türkiye. Cevdet Ylmaz, Erdoan's trusted vice president, has been instrumental in recent investment efforts in Turkey's predominantly Kurdish southeast with a focus on infrastructure and regional development. While some see this as a potential breakthrough in the Kurdish peace process, others warn that Erdo's motivations are linked to securing his political future, especially since his ability to seek re-election in 2028 is limited by the Turkish constitution.
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