Does Anies enter the red and white cabinet?

Listen to this article:

This audio was created using AI.

Amid attention and demands to replace Minister of Higher Education, Science and Technology (Mendiktisaintek) Satryo Soemantri Brodjonegoro, who was hit by a suspected case of the virus, it was expected that the right person to succeed him is Anies Baswedan. However, ifinvite In the cabinet, Anies' political career could be entirely in the hands of Prabowo Subianto. Why then?

PinterestPolitik.com

The name of Anies Baswedan appeared as one of the expectations of a figure deemed worthy of replacing Minister of Higher Education, Science and Technology (Mendiktisaintek) Satryo Soemantri Brodjonegoro.

As is known, after the colossal demonstration of the State Civil Apparatus (ASN) of the Ministry of Education and Technology, which can be said to have attracted the most attention after the Reform, the 'idea reshuffle appeared and headed towards Satryo.

Regardless of the veracity of ASN's accusations or speculation about the impact of internal intrigue due to Satryo's specific policies, the echo and momentum of this replacement appears to be a positive projection for Satryo's political career. 'Anies and his supporters. Mainly as the basis of Anies' existence and portfolio ahead of the 2029 presidential election.

In his social media posts and media appearances, Anies seems to be relaxing as a friend of fashion amid the frenetic politics of the Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka government. In fact, he didn't seem to want to get involved.

Apart from this, of course, the expectations to realize the scenario of Anies' entry into government are not simple and will depend on President Prabowo's prerogative strategy, both in terms of professionalism where Anies is a relevant figure in as an academic, former chancellor, as well as former Minister of Education and Culture, and politically to balance the internal synergy of the government coalition and prepare for the general elections and the presidential election of 2029.

However, for Prabowo, bringing Anies into government could be profitable. Why then?

Was Anies invited and then befriended?

There are at least two possible steps that President Prabowo will carefully calculate to manage relations with Anies and which could determine the pattern of their respective political relations and destiny.

First of allby bringing Anies to the government for exile. Yes, if Prabowo has a plan to reduce the potential threat of Anies in the 2029 presidential election with the aim of continuing his second term, recruiting Anies to the red and white cabinet could be a strategic option.

Moreover, if it could be integrated into a package with the PDIP, Anies and the political entity with the bull symbol have recently become quite close and have a very potential power symbiosis in Jakarta.

If it comes true, the recruitment maneuver of Anies and the PDIP could be an implementation of one of them The Thirty-Six Stratagems namely, Po zhun yn y or throwing bricks to fish for jade.

In the description, the strategy involves luring someone into thinking they will get something or simply making them respond by “throwing bricks” to get something of value in return or “getting jade”.

It is not impossible that the scenario of having Anies and the PDIP in government will actually erode sympathy for them. Moreover, whether President Prabowo has full control over Anies' performance or whether the performance achieved in the cabinet is far from what is expected.

This does not exclude the possibility that control of the situation will be part of the management of the conflict/potential conflict for Prabowo and interested parties in 2029.

However, the probability of bringing Anies into the ranks of the government will still be difficult to assess if we look at the calculations of the different variables that currently exist.

Prabowo Better Ignore Anies?

Until now, President Prabowo may still not consider Anies as a potential partner or part of a special scenario to host the 2029 election campaign.

However, leaving Anies out of government is a very possible option, in the hope that his influence fades on its own.

The decision to welcome or leave Anies out of the cabinet will greatly depend on President Prabowo's long-term political calculations.

Integrating Anies into the government could be a strategy to manage potential threats, but it could also be a trap if not managed carefully.

On the other hand, leaving Anies out of government could be a gamble to naturally weaken his influence, but also risks giving Anies the opportunity to strengthen his opposition force ahead of the 2029 presidential election.

Whatever happens next, it is expected to not only affect relations between Anies and Prabowo, but also the national political setup ahead of the 2029 presidential election, where coalitions and political forces will continue to evolve over time. (J61)