Politics
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan erases the democracy of turkeys | World News
Recep Tayyip Erdogan has managed Turkey for 22 years and has spent a large part of this time dismantling the foundations of its democracy. Since he changed the Constitution in 2017, the president of Turkeys ruled with few checks on his authority. His government controls the courts, the security apparatus and almost all the media. However, until last week, Turkey remained what political scientists call a competitive authoritarian regime: a erroneous multipartite democracy where the opposition can, in theory, gain elections, and often, at least at the local level. Since the arrest of March 19 of Ekrem Imamoglu, the mayor of Istanbul and Mr. Erdogans the strongest rival, which may no longer apply.
Some have thought that Mr. Erdogan has been a budding dictator since the 1990s, when, as a Islamist, he campaigned against secular turkeys, which was then strictly applied. Although it once called democracy a tram that you withdraw when you reach your stop, its first years in power were reassuring. But later, he repressed civil society organizations and used prosecution against adversaries in the army and the courts. Erdogan crushed Kurdish groups in a military campaign in 2015 and imprisoned Kurdish leaders. The following year, after thwarting an attempted coup, he imprisoned tens of thousands of people, some of whom had played a role in the putsch and muzzled the media. However, the Turkish president has always beat the opposition during the elections which were widely free, so far from being fair.
Mr. Imamoglus was a turning point. For months, the charismatic mayor led Erdogan in opinion polls for the next presidential election, due in 2028 or before. Last year, his Party of the Republican Peoples (CHP) shocked the party of Mr. Erdogans Justice and Development (AK) by beating it in local elections. Years of economic mismanagement and corruption scandals have eroded the popularity of Mr. Erdogans. Mr. Imamoglus emerges as the chief of the SCH promised a chance to transfer democratic to power. But his imprisonment, accused of corruption that experts consider base, suggests that the president of the turkeys prefers to put an end to democracy to risk losing.
Erdogan seems to have chosen this moment in part because of a favorable international climate. The usual defenders of the world of democracy are absent. Donald Trump has shown little interest in other democratic countries. Europe is concerned about the war in Ukraine and its difficulties with Mr. Trump. Indeed, Europeans need aid to turkeys and court Erdogan to provide troops for a potential peacekeeping force in Ukraine. While America is backing from Europe, the armed turkey, the second largest in NATO, are more vital than ever. And since the 2015-2016 migrant crisis, the European Union has relied on Turkey to keep the waves of refugees away from its borders.
The response of the European commissions to the arrest of Mr. Imamoglus was gentle, simply urging Turkey to respect democratic values, although the declarations of France and Germany were more difficult. In fact, Europe could do more than it did. Greece and Bulgaria have hardened their borders, which means that Turkey can no longer easily threaten the EU with migrants. Erdogan still seems to enhance the long -term candidacy for EU membership in EU membership; Earlier this month, he insisted that it advances. He also wanted to expand his customs union from countries with the EU; The block should keep this pending. Let Turkish companies participate in the EUS 150bn program ($ 162 billion) Rearm Europe would be another incentive.
However, external powers cannot prevent Erdogan from transforming Turkey into autocracy. Only its citizens can do it. Some of them can be alarmed by its growing authoritarianism, others by worsening the perspectives of the economy while investors lose the confidence that reformers can make their voices heard. The hundreds of thousands of basting police and the water cannons to protest against the judgment of Mr. Imamoglus have the sympathy of the democratic worlds. Alas, they will not get much else.
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