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50 days after election, Trump’s disapproval rate is the same as the last 2 presidents in office



As the election approaches, President Donald Trump’s disapproval rate is comparable to that of the last two one-term presidents, former Presidents George HW Bush and Jimmy Carter.

With 50 days before the election, Trump’s latest disapproval rate based on a Gallup poll stands at 55%. In early September 1992, Bush’s disapproval rating was 55 percent, as was Carter’s in September 1980. Both incumbents lost their re-election offers less than two months later.

By comparison, former President Barack Obama had a disapproval rating 11 percentage points lower, at 44%, in September 2012 before his re-election. Former President George W. Bush had a similar disapproval rate of 45% at the same time in 2004, while former President Bill Clinton had a disapproval rate of only 31%.

President Donald Trump boards Air Force One at McCarran International Airport on September 14 in Las Vegas. With 50 days before the election, Trump’s latest disapproval rate based on a Gallup poll stands at 55%. BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI / AFP / Getty

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Notably, other polling organizations show different disapproval rates for Trump. FiveThirtyEight’s current average shows the president with a disapproval rate of around 52.5 percent versus 43.1 percent who approve. Conservative firm Rasmussen Reports, which the president has often publicly touted, shows that 51% of Americans approve of the president while only 48% disapprove of him. The most recent Fox News poll shows the opposite percentages: 51% disapprove while 48% approve.

Meanwhile, all recent national polls show Trump is following his opponent, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden. Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight averages show Biden ahead by more than 7 percentage points.

The recent best national poll for Trump was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 2-8, showing Biden leading the way with 48% support, while Trump trailing nearly 2 points with just 46%. But a Reuters / Ipsos poll from Sept. 3-8 showed Biden to be 12 percentage points ahead, backed by 52% of voters, compared to just 40% who supported Trump.

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Trump and his re-election campaign officials have consistently rejected negative polls, saying most polls and pollsters are biased against the president and Republicans. They regularly point to 2016, when most analysts and polls suggested former Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton would beat Trump. Clinton actually ended up losing big in the Electoral College, despite winning nearly 3 million more individual votes.

But the president has seen a noticeable drop in support for his approval rating amid the coronavirus pandemic. A poll released by ABC News / Washington Post / Ipsos on Sunday showed that just over two-thirds (67%) of Americans believe Trump has been too slow to respond to the pandemic. Additionally, 68% said they did not trust what the president said about the pandemic, while only 35% said they approved his response to the national crisis.

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