A new poll of registered voters in New Hampshire showed President Donald Trump was more than 10 points behind his Democratic opponent, former Vice President Joe Biden, in State Live Free or Die, the president outgoing Republican narrowly lost in the general election four years ago.
The poll, released Wednesday and conducted by Suffolk University and the Boston Globe, polled 500 likely voters from the Nov. 3 general election in Granite State and found 204 respondents, 40.8% of those polled, said said they would vote for Trump while 255.51% would vote for Biden.
Another 12 respondents, 2.4%, said they would vote for libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgensen, and only 14 of those surveyed, 2.8%, said they were undecided.
The Suffolk / Globe poll, which was conducted via live telephone interviews, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Of the 500 people polled, about 30.8% were Democrats, 31.4% Republicans and 35.2% independent voters.
Biden appears to be leading by significant margins among nearly every New Hampshire voter: women, independents, whites, people of color, voters 18 to 34, and people over 50.
The former vice president holds a narrow one point lead among male voters, and he is tied with Trump among those aged 35 to 49. The outgoing president leads Biden among gun owners with 111 respondents to 80, or 54% to 39%.
Recent national polls also showed Biden ahead of Trump by more than 10 percentage points, with the former vice president leading by smaller margins in battlefield states.
A nationwide poll released by the Washington Post and ABC News last week showed Trump a dozen points behind Biden, with voters almost equally trusting the candidates on the economy, but favoring the Democratic candidate by a wide margin in management of the coronavirus pandemic.
In a time of political and economic turbulence, with the current public health crisis ravaging the health and finances of Americans, 122 survey respondents, 24.4% of those polled, said the economy was the most problematic. important that the next president was facing.
Not far behind was COVID-19 and bringing the country together. The two questions were ranked as the most important by around 19% of respondents.
More than half of respondents, 276 respondents, said they believed the country was going on the wrong track.
Almost the same number of New Hampshire voters – 273 people, or 54.6% of respondents – said they disapproved of Trumps’ handling of the presidency.
Another 47.8% of respondents, 239 New Hampshire voters, classified Trumps handling the ongoing pandemic as poor.
David Paleologos, director of the Center for Policy Research at Suffolk University, told the Globe that poll results don’t necessarily mean New Hampshire is a locked victory for Biden, however. As many as 324 of those polled, or nearly 65% of those polled, said they would vote in person on election day, leaving room for surprises on November 3.
In my cross-country poll, New Hampshire has a particularly high percentage of people planning to vote on election day. This means that, theoretically, the race here could still be fluid and react to any last-minute development, Paleologos told the newspaper.
Those interviewed in the poll were from 10 counties in New Hampshires and were polled from Oct. 8 to 12, days after the first presidential and vice-presidential debates.
Slightly more of New Hampshire voters polled, 15 respondents, believed Bidens’ running mate Senator Kamala Harris won the debate over Republican Vice President Mike Pence.
Of the 500 people polled, 156 said they would be comfortable with Pence as president, and 166 said the same about Harris.
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