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Ben Sasse, Larry Hogan: How do you know these ambitious Republicans think Donald Trump is going to lose




2) The Washington Post ran an article on Maryland Governor Larry Hogan in which he said he voted in writing for the late Ronald Reagan in the 2020 election. “I know it’s just symbolic,” said Hogan at the Post. “It won’t change the outcome in my condition. But I thought it was important to just vote to show the kind of person I would like to see in power.”

The timing of these two moments is not a coincidence. (There are no coincidences in politics.) Let’s dig a little deeper.

Sasse’s office told CNN he made his critical comments about Trump at a city telelight with around 17,000 Nebraskans online. When you want something not to come out, do you usually tell 17,000 of your closest friends? Right. Even though Sasse – or an ally of Sasse – did not disclose the audio to the Examiner, you can be assured that the Senator made these comments for public consumption.

It wasn’t a mistake. It was a strategy.

Ditto Hogan’s decision to sit down for an interview with the Washington Post on Thursday and reveal to the newspaper that he wrote as unassailable Tory hero Ronald Reagan rather than voting for Trump or former Vice President Joe Biden.

(Box: This is an incredibly empty act of symbolism on Hogan’s part. State governor says the best way to express your dissatisfaction with Trump’s four years is … to wait … to cast your vote on a deceased person? uh …)

In case you have any doubts about what Hogan was looking for when speaking to the Post, consider this paragraph from the same article:

Hogan’s latest rejection of his party’s flagship comes as he works to expand his political network nationwide ahead of a possible 2024 presidential candidacy, with a wave of fundraising this month for candidates of the GOPs from Vermont to Nebraska who also present themselves as pragmatic Republicans. “

So here is.

Sasse and Hogan made similar calculations around the same time: Trump is very likely to lose in 18 days. And that defeat, which is likely to be a long way off, will cause Republicans to reexamine the past five plus years – one that will produce a significant number of Republicans who believe the party needs to radically move away from Trump (and Trumpism as it is ‘there is): the two men want to lead the way as potential standard bearers of this anti-Trump fervor within the party. Both were part of a relative paucity of Republican elected officials willing to criticize Trump’s conduct in office – Hogan envisioned a primary race against Trump in 2020 before ruling him out – and want to make sure they beat what ‘they believe to be a mad rush. to jump off the Trump yacht after the election. (Note: Sasse was basically silent for months in his criticism of Trump as he worked to earn his renown. It worked – and he even got Trump’s endorsement!)

These are the first of what I would expect to be a number of steps taken by aspiring GOP polo shirts looking to get away from what they believe to be Trump’s wreckage scattered all over the Republican Party. the first week of November.

In short: the race for the nomination of the GOP 2024 is already on. And the expectation – among several of the potential candidates in this race – is for the president to head for a convincing defeat on November 3, a loss that will force an account within the party and open the door to their post-Trump candidacies. .

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