2024 Wimbledon Betting Tips, Odds, Predictions & Best Tennis Bets 7/5

This article is part of our Tennis Picks series.

The third round of Wimbledon begins Friday on the grass courts of the All England Club in London. A battle between well-known ATP Tour veterans could produce an upset based on their previous meetings, while two of America's brightest hopes in the women's tournament could produce divergent results against opponents of very different caliber.

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All men’s singles matches at Grand Slams like Wimbledon are best of five sets, while women’s singles matches are best of three sets. A mix of players’ previous grass-court results, recent form and stylistic matchups can help uncover interesting betting opportunities, both on favorites likely to cruise to victory and underdogs primed to pull off upsets. The aforementioned underdogs are highlighted in the Upset Alert section, the Lock It In section covers players who can safely be considered overwhelming favorites, while the Value Bets section recommends tempting options in matchups considered closer to toss-ups.

Wimbledon Predictions: Surprise Warning

Marta Kostyuk (+255) versus Madison Keys

Keys is a polarizing player, as her immense power makes the 13th-ranked American a sleeper title choice, but Keys is also prone to bad losses when her timing wanes. A loss to the 19th-ranked Kostyuk would hardly be considered a bad loss, as Kostyuk had Coco Gauff on the ropes in the quarterfinals of this year’s Australian Open and has five victories over top-10 players in 2024. Keys is a fair favorite, but Kostyuk should be far less of an underdog than these odds reflect.

Gaël Monfils (+290) versus Grigor Dimitrov

Both household names are past their prime, but Dimitrov appears closer to his best tennis at No. 10 at 33 than the 33rd-ranked Monfils is at 37. That explains why Dimitrov is the favorite, but Monfils has enjoyed a significant head-to-head advantage. Monfils leads 4-1 overall and has won 10 of 11 sets in those four victories, while Dimitrov's lone victory came via Monfils' first-set retirement. Dimitrov reached the semifinals here in 2014, but that is the only time either of those two players has advanced past the fourth round at Wimbledon. In theory, playing on grass should help Monfils at this stage, as he adjusts to playing more of an “old-man game” that shortens rallies by showcasing his immense power more than his flashy defense.

Honorable Mention

Jan-Lennard Struff (+150) versus Daniil Medvedev

Wimbledon Odds: Lock It In

Coco Gauff (-1100) versus Sonay Kartal

The 22-year-old Kartal, who was passed over for a wildcard by her home country, got into the Wimbledon draw the hard way by winning three qualifying matches and backing it up with two main-draw victories. It has been an impressive run for the 298th-ranked Briton, who entered this tournament without a career Grand Slam main draw. That run is likely to end here, as the second-ranked Gauff is simply a different class of player. The determined American has dropped just six games in two matches as she adapted her game to grass by playing more aggressively and even throwing some big serves of over 120 mph.

Donna Vekic (-280) against Dayana Yastremska

Yastremska reached the Australian Open semifinals as a qualifier, but she has gone just 10-11 since then, including her two wins here. Vekic is 10 spots behind the 27th-ranked Ukrainian, but the hard-hitting Croatian has been playing better tennis of late and has a history of consistent Grand Slam success, while the jury is still out on whether Yastremska's Australian Open run was a one-hit wonder. Vekic reached the final of the Bad Homburg Open on grass in her last tournament before Wimbledon, and she has reached at least the round of 16 at all four Grand Slams in her career, while Yastremska went three full years without a Grand Slam first-round appearance between the 2020 US Open and this year's Australian Open.

Honorable Mention

Roberto Bautista Agut (-205) against Fabio Fognini

Wimbledon Predictions: Valuable Bets

Daria Kasatkina (-170) versus Paula Badosa

Kasatkina’s weak serve is a weakness on any surface, but the 12th-ranked Russian has shown that the rest of her game is well-suited to grass. She has dropped just three games in two rounds, dishing out three bagels along the way. Kasatkina won the Rothesy International on grass in the run-up to this tournament and is 8-1 on grass in 2024, with her only loss coming against Aryna Sabalenka, who was the bookies’ favourite to win this title before withdrawing with a shoulder injury. Badosa has not recorded a top 20 win in the past calendar year, with the Spaniard seemingly unable to reach the same heights she was before injuries began to decimate her game in recent years.

Brandon Nakashima (+110) versus Ugo Humbert

Nakashima has had excellent underlying serve hold numbers all year and has served brilliantly so far at Wimbledon, with 25 aces compared to one double fault while remaining unbroken in a pair of straight-set victories over top-40 players. Humbert is 49 spots above Nakashima at No. 16, but the Frenchman entered Wimbledon on a three-match grass-court losing streak and needed five sets to get out of the first round against Alexander Shevchenko. Humbert has a history of folding in the biggest tournaments, having only advanced past the third round of a major once despite his high ranking, having reached the round of 16 at Wimbledon in 2019.

Honorable Mention

Emma Navarro (-120) against Diana Schneider