Return to Visitors’ Attractions “Coronavirus Desert Oasis” – STV News

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Well-known experts are pretty optimistic that the coronavirus will be wiped out in Scotland by Christmas.

Professor Hugh Pennington, Professor Emeritus of Bacteriology at the University of Aberdeen, said he was skeptical of the new report from the Academy of Medical Sciences.

The second wave of coronavirus infection warned that it could be the worst case scenario and could kill 120,000 hospitals across the UK between September and June.

On STV News, Professor Pennington said: I’m a bit skeptical about the second wave of that magnitude coming.

He said it might happen more, but he believes it is unlikely to be of that size, since he now had a proper system in place for detection and self-isolation.

Professor Pennington said: We may have encountered small cases as they have been happening for the past few months, but the number of cases is decreasing, so the virus was pretty common before Christmas. Being pretty optimistic.

Expert: Hugh Pennington, Emeritus Professor of Bacteriology at the University of Aberdeen.

Professor Pennington said the research team learned a lot about the virus through bitter experience.

Scientists are now able to fingerprint viruses, thanks to data published worldwide and studies conducted in Scotland.

Experts believe that Covid-19 behaves like a flu, which gets busy just before Christmas and hangs out until the hours of February, Professor Pennington warned.

But the research team knows where the virus likes to spread.

Professor Pennington said: It’s because I like places with a lot of intense breathing, so let’s say so.

Noisy pub-a good place for viruses and a bad place for the people there.

The warning comes on Wednesday before the restrictions are further relaxed in Scotland before people can return to pubs, restaurants, hotels, beauty salons and places of worship.

While the official death toll in Scotland is 2490, weekly figures of suspected Covid-19 deaths indicate that the latest total is over 4100.

Across the UK, more than 44,000 people have died as a result of being virus positive.

Medical Science Academy Report

Although the Academy of Medical Sciences report acknowledges that 37 scientists and scholars have high uncertainties about how the Covid-19 epidemic will evolve in the UK over the next few months , Shows a reasonable worst case scenario: The “R” rate will rise to 1.7 from September.

The team also noted a less serious scenario, with an R rate of 1.1 and the death of 1300 hospitals between September and June.

R is the number of people you expect to be infected by the virus.

Academic modeling suggests that there are peaks of hospitalization and mortality in January and February 2021 that are equal to or worse than the first wave of spring 2020.

It does not include deaths in the community or nursing homes.

Nor is it considered by government intervention to reduce infection rates or the use of the drug dexamethasone in intensive care units, which has been shown to reduce mortality.

“The research led medical professor, Professor of Clinical Immunology and Pharmacology, says Steven Holgate. This is not a prediction, but it is possible.

The model suggests that the new wave of Covid-19 this winter could lead to higher mortality, but immediate action could reduce the risk of this happening. There is a possibility.

Currently, with the relatively small number of Covid-19 cases, this is an important opportunity to prepare for the worst that winter can bring.

Professor Holgate recommended many actions to be taken before the beginning of the winter, including influenza vaccination of vulnerable health and social workers.

He said that winter illnesses often show symptoms similar to Covid-19, so testing and follow-up needs to be extended to winters, stressing that more people need to be tested. ..

It also called for a rapid surveillance system in the UK to stop local outbreaks in the event of an outbreak.

Professor Azulagani, chair of infectious disease epidemiology at Imperial College in London, also said he could work on the study, with an R of up to 1.7.

She emphasized that the virus is known to spread more easily indoors and that people spend more time indoors during the winter, she said.

She added: In addition, our window is less likely to open and doors tend to be closed to prevent cold, which again increases transmission.

The virus itself may also survive long in cold conditions.

NHS board planning

The Scottish Secretary of Health said plans are underway to address the possible outbreak of the coronavirus in the coming months.

Gene Freeman said the NHS board has been told to prepare additional treatment capabilities in intensive care units (ICUs) and other wards.

Plan: Secretary of Health Jean Freeman.

At a daily Scottish Government briefing on Tuesday, she said: Fall and winter plans are quite underway at the NHS in Scotland, including discussions with colleagues in social care.

Our board is advised to retain the ability to deal with the surge in Covid cases both in the bed and in the ICU.

It also took into account infectious diseases and viruses associated with winter, influenza and other respiratory illnesses.

She added: It cannot be assumed that our NHS does not have to deal with the significant increase in Covid-19 cases.

The lower the number of infectious diseases, the better we do in dealing with autumn and winter.

Prime Minister: Nicolas Sturgeon is calling on Scotland to adhere to the rules.

Prime Minister Nikola Sturgeon said the more immediate risk was the resurgence of the first wave of coronaviruses.

She said: The real risk now is that the first wave will take off again.

It’s our immediate priority, and while important in and of itself, it’s also important to avoid getting into the winter when the infection level is still too high.

After Scotland’s death by Covid-19 wasn’t announced for the sixth consecutive day, Sturgeon said: It took us four painful months, but the lockdown allowed us to stop the first wave.

By locking yourself down, the virus also locks down.

She added: When we are released from lockdown, we also release the virus, so we need to keep it under other control.

That means we all stick to the rules.

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