New horizons for innovation could boost healthcare revenues

Lessons learned from the obesity treatment revolution

We are in the early stages of launching what will likely be one of the largest classes of therapeutics in the history of biopharmaceuticals. Obesity has long been misunderstood and stigmatized as merely a lifestyle or willpower issue, but things are rapidly changing. Obesity is becoming recognized as an actual medical condition associated with over 200 health complications.

A new generation of obesity treatments led by Novo Nordisk's Wegovy and Eli Lilly's Zepbound have shown impressive weight loss outcomes with tolerable side effects. Additionally, Wegovy has been shown to reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events by 20%.

Both benefits have been widely accepted by physicians and patients and the launch has been going well, while issues of reimbursement coverage and supply constraints are gradually being resolved. The long-term attractiveness of the market has led to the emergence of many potential competitors, and we will be watching closely to see how this will affect incumbents.

Healthcare services and life sciences headed for post-COVID-19 recovery

Outside of treatment, we have seen a significant increase in healthcare utilization, including general hospital volume, medical procedures, etc. While it remains to be seen whether this is just the beginning of the Baby Boomer generation entering a more critical stage of life, we believe there are two main drivers of the current trend.

First, there are a small number of patients and needs in certain regions that are still recovering from the delays caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. But more importantly, labor and cost conditions are easing. As a result, hospital and facility inventories, as well as large segments of the medical equipment and supplies sector, will benefit from this trend.

This increased utilization is especially evident in outpatient settings where care is more convenient and less costly for patients, and the trend is expected to accelerate, which will continue to benefit hospitals and healthcare organizations, as well as large segments of the medical equipment and supplies sector.

The life sciences tools and services sector, which experienced difficulties following the pandemic, is now showing signs of recovery, as overordering during the pandemic has led to lower demand levels since then and consumers have destocked, confounding the predictive power of the new orders metrics these companies report quarterly.

As these supply disruptions resolve and demand for innovative therapeutics and cost-effective drug discovery increases, companies in this sector are poised for long-term growth, making them attractive investments.

US election results could affect drug prices

The political climate in the United States plays a pivotal role in shaping healthcare regulation, particularly in terms of patient access and drug pricing. With the implementation of the Inflation Control Act (IRA) and ongoing discussions of healthcare reform, we are monitoring the potential impact of regulatory changes on R&D spending and acquisition priorities in the biopharmaceutical industry.

While discussion of healthcare regulation has been muted in the current election cycle, the impact of the IRA and potential adjustments under a new administration remain key factors. We expect Republicans will find wholesale repeal of the IRA neither feasible nor politically attractive. The impact of the IRA on R&D funding and acquisition priorities in the biopharmaceutical industry remains a key topic, along with the first drug group negotiations and their new pricing proposals to be announced in September.

But despite the political noise, the larger trends driving AI's impact on medical longevity, demographics, and medical research are largely unaffected by short-term political moves. As the industry undergoes rapid transformation and witnesses unprecedented technological advancements, a solid understanding of emerging trends and market dynamics is critical to realizing the full potential of this lucrative sector.

Sources 1/ https://Google.com/ 2/ https://www.axa-im.co.uk/research-and-insights/investment-strategy-updates/fund-manager-views/equities/new-horizon-innovation-could-drive-healthcare-returns The mention sources can contact us to remove/changing this article

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