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According to the latest statistics, UK CovidR values ​​are starting to decline




The number of regenerated coronavirus infections across the UK, or R-value, is close to 1.

Estimates of R across the UK are between 1 and 1.1, according to data released by the Department of Government Sciences and the Emergency Science Advisory Group (Sage) on Friday.

Last week, the R number was between 1 and 1.2.

R represents the average number of people who continue to be infected with each Covid-19 positive.

Occurrences can increase exponentially when the number exceeds 1.

An R number between 1 and 1.1 means that on average, every 10 infected people will be infected with 10 to 11 others.

R and growth estimates are provided by the Sage subgroup Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modeling (SPI-M).

Growth rates that estimate the rate at which infections change daily range from 0% to + 2% across the UK.

This means that the number of new infections is increasing by 0% to 2% daily.

According to experts, estimates of R and growth rate are shown as ranges, and true values ​​may be within this range.

Sage also said the numbers released on Friday more accurately represent the average situation over the past few weeks rather than the current situation.

They say: Sage is not convinced that R is currently above 1 in the UK, but it is not yet fully reflected in the data stream on which the model is based.

These estimates are based on the latest data available by 17 November and do not yet accurately reflect the intervention introduced in the UK on 5 November.

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