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Study: Himachal Pradesh may be subject to a devastating earthquake in the future
The Ministry of Science and Technology of Himachal Pradesh, which is in India’s highest earthquake risk area, has said an earthquake of magnitude equal to or greater than eight on the Richter scale is likely to occur in the future. In the context of recent earthquake incidents in the northern part of the country, which raised the concern of scientists and planners. An earthquake of magnitude 8 or greater is considered quite destructive because it can completely devastate communities near the epicenter. India has in the past experienced two such earthquakes – one on January 15, 1934, in North Bihar (magnitude 8.1) and the other on August 15, 1950, in Assam (magnitude 8.6) – with two epicenters in neighboring countries. The study could have significant implications in terms of planning for seismic hazards, earthquake predictions and understanding the origination of the source for great earthquakes below the active collision zone. The study, conducted by a group of researchers from institutions including Hyderabad-based WIHG, National Geophysical Research Institute (NGRI) and IIT, Kharagpur, indicates that there is a sufficient amount of strain energy still stored below the Himalayas. “This is due to the release of very small amounts of stress energy in the form of micro-quakes and massive earthquakes so far,” the ministry said while referring to the study published in the ‘Journal of Asian Earth Sciences’ in 2018. said Sushil Kumar, a WIHG scientist who was part of the study. The study also indicates that if an earthquake occurred under the Himalayas and included each Himalayan separating fault in the generation process, it could have a magnitude of 8. During the past year (1 January 2020 to 31 December 2020), a total of 965 earthquakes of magnitude 3 and above were reported Click here by the National Center for Seismology (NCS) which maintains a nationwide seismological network of 115 seismic stations monitoring earthquake activity in and around the country. “It is planned to strengthen the existing national seismic monitoring network with 35 additional field stations during 2021-22. This will help detect small earthquakes at selected sites,” a Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES) official said. India has been divided into four regions – Zone V, IV, III and II – according to the seismic zoning map of the country prepared by the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) based on historical earthquakes and strong ground movements. Among these regions, region V shows the highest seismic risk while region II has the lowest. parts of Jammu and Kashmir (Valley of Kashmir); Western part of Himachal Pradesh. Eastern part of Uttarakhand, Kutch in Gujarat; Part of northern Bihar. All the northeastern states and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are in Zone V.
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