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A high probability of a tsunami in the Marmara Sea, Turkey: report

A high probability of a tsunami in the Marmara Sea, Turkey: report


A recent report submitted to the Turkish Parliament drew attention to the continuing threat of tsunamis in the Sea of ​​Marmara, endangering major Turkish cities along its coast. The report, drafted by a parliamentary subcommittee investigating earthquake risk, says it could take just 10 minutes for towering tsunamis to reach shores in the event of an earthquake.

Turkey has suffered devastating earthquakes in the past, including a 7.4-magnitude earthquake in Golcuk in 1999 that killed more than 17,000 people in the greater region. The country is located in one of the most seismically active regions in the world as it lies on many active fault lines, with the North Anatolian Fault, the meeting point of the Anatolian and Eurasian tectonic plates, having the potential to cause the greatest destruction. The last major earthquake occurred in October 2020 when a 6.6-magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Izmir, killing 115 people.

The report of the Research Committee on Seismic Measures and Reducing Earthquake Damage, published by Milliyet newspaper, details that Turkey is “open to tsunami risk” due to high seismic activity. He notes that the coasts of the Mediterranean, Aegean and Marmara are particularly vulnerable due to the “extensive use (settlement) of beaches”. She adds that Turkey experienced 136 tsunami waves. The most recent tsunami occurred in 2017 in an area between the southwestern town of Bodrum and the Greek island of Kos and in October 2020, affected the Seferihisar district of Izmir (near the deadly epicenter) and the nearby Greek island of Samos. north.

Most tsunamis were reported in the Sea of ​​Marmara, as well as off Izmir, the southern town of Iskenderun, and the southwestern city of Fethiye. The Sea of ​​Marmara featured heavily in the report, which noted that tsunami waves exceeded two meters (6.6 feet) in height in 1999 when one of the country’s deadliest earthquakes rocked. The 1999 tsunami affected the areas of Totonchivlik, Herki and Degermendir, all in Kocaeli County, where it was the epicenter of the disaster.

Over the years, the Marmara Sea has experienced dozens of tsunamis. The report warned that the first tsunami wave would hit the beach within 10 minutes of an earthquake and that the highest tsunami wave would reach the coast within an hour to an hour and a half. It also warned that the eastern parts of Marmara and the Princes’ Islands would be “the most vulnerable to the tsunami.”

Istanbul-based Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, the country’s leading earthquake monitoring center, are working to establish a tsunami early warning system. The institute monitors around the clock all earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher that have the potential to cause tsunamis.

The report also lists a number of tsunami precautions. The report urges that “all relevant agencies, primarily the Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency (AFAD), should formulate contingency evacuation plans and action plans for coastal settlements after identifying hazards, risks and vulnerabilities.” The report called for installing seismometers on the seabed, drafting tsunami risk maps for the Sea of ​​Marmara, and establishing or increasing the number of early warning systems in the Sea of ​​Marmara, the Aegean and the Mediterranean. Finally, it recommends implementing special measures to reduce tsunami damage to buildings on the coasts.

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2/ https://www.dailysabah.com/turkey/high-likelihood-of-tsunami-in-turkeys-marmara-sea-report/news

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