A young earthquake is in its infancy

Editor’s note: Samuel Abrams is Professor of Politics at Sarah Lawrence College and visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Jeremy Surrey is the distinguished chair of Mac Brown’s Leadership in Global Affairs and Professor of Public Affairs and History at the University of Texas at Austin. The opinions expressed here are their opinions. Read more about the opinion on CNN.

(CNN) – As Covid-19 isolates young people from peers around the world, many observers are concerned about the emergence of a “lost generation”. The list of major candidates for the US presidency, dominated by baby boomers in 2020, provides little evidence that youth voices are advancing as a viable political force.

Although there are many reasons to be concerned about the mental health and social development of youth under Covid, we see reasons for optimism in their new rush of coherent political activism, which was partly facilitated by the epidemic. University students and fresh graduates are well positioned to organize, deliver and build new consensus on policy reforms. American youth, in particular, demonstrate a commitment to a practical center of policy priorities: affordable health care for all, environmental sustainability, international cooperation, civil rights and economic justice. Despite their current isolation, most young Americans embrace sympathetic leadership and are dedicated to serving their communities.

Now the conditions are ripe for a youth-led political movement in the United States and other countries demanding reforms consistent with their values. As societies try to break out of Covid-19’s closing conditions, young votes will have an opportunity to grow in influence. In recent days, according to Pew, Millennials have outnumbered births as the largest in America, and General Z will make up 10% of eligible voters for the U.S. 2020 elections. Covid-19 could be the external shock of our socio-political system that will rearrange the nation’s priorities and break the polarization and anger that dominates our political life.

Many critics ask whether young people in the United States will go out to vote, when their numbers have traditionally been lower than in older groups. In the recent Democratic primaries, their turnout was disappointing, especially for candidates such as Senator Bernie Sanders, who relied on the enthusiasm of young voters. If young people don’t vote in greater numbers, their activism – however alive or inspiring – will have little hope of influencing politics.

But these pessimistic judgments are also misleading. Youth turnout in recent elections shows a clear pattern of increase during the 2020 primary season. Facebook and other social media platforms share information widely with young voters about the reason for voting, and how they can register, despite efforts by some countries to suppress their votes . Voting by mail will also facilitate youth turnout, as the April 7 Wisconsin election showed. More importantly, the Covid-19 Crisis provided a common need for young people to elect representatives who would address their shared educational, health and employment needs. It can be said that young voters have more motivation than ever since the Vietnam War.

By helping younger Americans find their voice and demonstrate how they care about them, political loyalties can be formed for effective governance. The question now is whether any of the two parties can muster the leadership, discipline and vision to take advantage of this openness and work with this emerging generation. Given their numbers and their vital role in rebuilding societies after the epidemic, young men and women are well suited to leading the attack forward for several reasons.

First, young people have a history of fueling political change in times of crisis. The 1960s are the best recent example, when young men and women around the universities organized to demonstrate for civil rights, withdraw from the war in Vietnam, and reform communist tyranny around the world. They carried the hypocrisy of their elders into a bright light and transformed every major society in the years after 1968.

Second, while the hearts and minds of many college students today were open, pragmatic and moderate, they also felt they had been ignoring them for a long time. This must change in the Covid era. Research by the American Enterprise Institute consistently shows that most General Zers, for example, feel that their efficacy is limited compared to older generations. General Zers, more than his older counterparts, tend to feel that conducting elections does not make the government pay attention to what people think. In light of this, the lack of excitement in the 2020 election on campus seems reasonable.

However, AEI research also showed that the ideological left that is often claimed from 18 to 22 years old is exaggerated, and this is the case for both inside and outside the college. Many General Zers may suggest more than the stereotype that they are identified as something other than “liberal” – moderates, conservatives, and even those who have not considered politics much are well represented.

These results fully demonstrate that there is no mono culture left among young citizens. Large numbers congregate in the middle, politically open and somewhat separate, and not unlike any other. A new consensus is possible, especially about leaders who can reach and respond to the values ​​of General Zers’ pragmatic policy.

Third, and perhaps most importantly, technology enables young people to communicate and organize faster and at lower cost than before. With the current school and business closings, Millennials and General Zarzers have an extraordinary moment but are suited to using this technology for their purposes. They focus on communicating with each other and creating new economic and social opportunities.

Take two political races in the minds of our students. Donald Trump’s 2016 victory over Hillary Clinton to the White House and the main win of 2018 by Alexandra Okasio Cortez over Joseph Crowley, an influential state tenor in New York’s 14th Congress and former head of the Democratic House. In both cases, the victorious candidates relied heavily on social media, indigenous grassroots organization, organization, mobilization and action outside the traditional power bases of their parties. Trump’s supporters were larger on average than Ocácio Cortez, but they took advantage of new technologies and motives for political engagement.

Campaign spending reflects Ocasio-Cortez’s motto: “You can’t really beat big money with more money. You have to hit them with a completely different game.” In the case of Okácio Cortez, Crowley was spending more than 18 to 1 ($ 1.5 million to $ 83,000). In the case of Clinton and Trump, Secretary Clinton had a weak popular game and her campaign spent large sums on negative TV ads.

Politics by other means, focusing on new technology and new voters, has become the new norm. The traditional tactics of big money in the late twentieth century – especially prime-time centrally controlled ads, phone banking, and mailing – are less important.

The new campaign context opens a crucial space for young voters, who are smart enough to look beyond Twitter and the echo chamber. Young Americans feel comfortable communicating on multiple platforms, despite the shallow narratives they fear of familiarity and speaking on the phone. In fact, American youth are the most connected through a range of media. And unlike television which is very expensive and local print media, the technologies used by young citizens are inexpensive and widely accessible. Without a doubt, American youth are already doing more talking and listening.

Stephen Olekara has been organizing youth for over a decade as the founder of the Millennial Action Project in Washington, DC. He told us: “Crises like Covid-19 require cooperative leadership that gives hope for our future. Millennium leaders respond to this call, use technology to bring thousands of university courses online, and switch to social media to educate citizens on how to vote safely in a pandemic.”

Olikara recounted last week how a group of young, elected leaders in Iowa met along party lines to launch a series of online videos through social media, with the goal of motivating their Millennium Fellow colleagues to vote and participate in other ways. He is just one of many examples of young people across the country who are defending our democracy and communicating with their peers.

For young men and women, in particular, Covid-19 revealed the incompetence and isolation of the Trump administration. The epidemic will have repercussions everywhere in the country, regardless of the party. The forthcoming elections and their consequences in 1932 could resemble a reorganization shift. Previous crises spurred major political change, and there is a strong reason to expect Coved 19 to have a similar transformational impact. This is not the time to be the current Republican.

The most important political fact of our time is that our country’s young citizens are in greater numbers of their homes than at any time in the past century. They are widely linked to each other, and look forward to making their voices heard. American youth have sparked real change before, and they are largely sympathetic to open pragmatists. Despite the limitations of physical expansion, they have the tools and motivation to communicate and organize and to become real agents of change. A young earthquake is in its infancy.

This story was first published on CNN.com “The Youth Earthquake Has Just begun”.

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