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Los Angeles’ $1 Billion Landmark: Upgrading 8,000 Buildings
A new analysis shows that in a milestone for the Los Angeles Earthquake Safety Campaign, more than 8,000 earthquake-prone buildings across the city have been retrofitted at an estimated cost of $1.3 billion.
The improvements — which come seven years after the Los Angeles City Council passed the nation’s largest earthquake safety legislation — mark the biggest advances in seismic upgrades in decades, but still leave thousands of buildings vulnerable to damage or even collapse in a catastrophic earthquake.
The regulations, a legacy of Mayor Eric Garcetti’s push for stronger seismic safety laws that required more than 14,000 buildings to be retrofitted, came after years of stalled efforts to improve buildings’ resilience despite mounting evidence of earthquake threats.
The bases target apartments and other soft and vulnerable first storey buildings as well as large concrete buildings, and the types of buildings that sustained severe damage during the Sylmar earthquakes of 1971 and 1994 Northridge.
Many completed retrofits have been done in soft-story wood-frame apartment buildings, where upgrades are much cheaper than in fragile concrete buildings. Under city laws, landlords pay for structural improvements, but landlords can pass a portion of the costs on to tenants.
Cyclists pass through the ruins of a collapsed Kaiser Permanente clinic and office building in the hills of Granada after the 1994 Northridge earthquake. The structure was a weak concrete building.
(Jonathan Alcorn/Los Angeles Times)
Seismologists are pushing communities across California to focus on strengthening key infrastructure to better withstand large earthquakes, including utilities, water systems and buildings. While Los Angeles has targeted thousands of buildings, it has not dealt with another type of construction at risk: steel-framed buildings, 25 of which were significantly damaged in the Northridge earthquake. This includes the Automobile Club of Southern California building in Santa Clarita, which was on the verge of collapse.
“Steel-framed buildings have the potential to break” a major part of their skeleton, said Ryan Kersting, who chairs the policy committee at Structural Engineers Assn. California. “And once you start to have that fracture, you worry about the instability and potential collapse of those buildings.”
Kirsting said it would be important to do a case-by-case analysis to understand which buildings are most at risk of collapsing, even at lower vibration intensity. A US Geological Survey simulation released in 2008 of a 7.8-magnitude earthquake in Southern California stated that it is plausible that five tall steel buildings housing 5,000 people would have collapsed.
“We should be more aware of the risks we have on our buildings,” Kersting said.
However, Los Angeles and a few other cities have come a long way in the past few years. Cities like Santa Monica, West Hollywood, Culver City, Beverly Hills, and Pasadena now have laws requiring soft-storied buildings to be upgraded. In Northern California, such laws exist in San Francisco, Berkeley, and Oakland as well.
“This is really huge and really huge, and it has really big benefits,” said seismologist Lucy Jones. “The most satisfying thing is the really big shift around a softer story [buildings] And all that can be done about it.”
The report shows the benefits of a Los Angeles law requiring the modification of soft-storied buildings, also known as dingbats. An obvious sign of these buildings are those with condominiums above car parks supported by flimsy columns, and prone to collapse in the event of an earthquake.
Kehl Tonga of Cal-Quake Construction installs a steel truss to strengthen an earthquake-prone thin-story apartment building in Hollywood.
(Milcon/Los Angeles Times)
In the 1994 Northridge earthquake, about 200 single-story buildings collapsed, including one apartment building in which 16 people were killed.
The release of the report comes 14 years after the first tremors, a giant seismic drill that asks residents to simulate what they would do in the event of an earthquake.
Of the 12,604 soft-storied buildings identified by the Los Angeles Department of Building and Safety, 8,228 have been modernized, or 65%. Amended building permits were also issued for 2,068 additional buildings.
The slender, brittle columns supporting the El Centro apartment block left the building unstable after the 2010 earthquake
(Fred Turner/California Earthquake Safety Authority)
The study by structural engineer Keith Porter, an expert on seismic safety issues in California, estimated that the retrofit of 8,100 single-story apartment buildings in Los Angeles — that was a total when the analysis was performed — boosted 117,000 housing units. Officials estimate that the cost of a typical modernization of a two-story building in Los Angeles ranges from $80,000 to $160,000.
Porter estimated that Los Angeles property owners have spent $1.3 billion so far on these retrofits.
But the benefits are already enormous. Porter calculates that the retrofits will reduce future financial losses by $41 billion and avoid 1,500 deaths, 27,000 nonfatal injuries, and PTSD. The retrofits are also expected to prevent 5,000 housing units from collapsing and another 60,000 housing units from being significantly damaged.
Described by Porter as a “very cost-effective investment,” he calculated that every dollar invested in retrofitting would save $32 if the landlord did not pay for the seismic upgrades.
“These estimates omit important but difficult to quantify benefits such as the protection of keepsakes and pets, and peace of mind, community and culture,” Porter wrote. “They ignore the disposal of debris, the energy embodied in repairing or replacing buildings, and increasing housing costs that accompany the decrease in the supply of housing.
“This analysis does not address the potential for the displaced population to become homeless, with attendant psychological and physical effects, demands on public services and other damages,” he added.
“The retrofit of these buildings today will keep many tenants in their homes,” Porter said. “The update amendments will avoid thousands of injuries that may otherwise require emergency medical care, and to free medical resources when there is a sudden and severe request. The losses that were avoided benefit everyone.”
The Los Angeles Earthquake Retrofit Act was passed after a Times analysis published in 2013 found that more than 1,000 old concrete buildings may be at risk of collapsing in a major earthquake. The city has long been aware of the dangers but hasn’t done much about it in the years since the 1994 Northridge earthquake.
Early of his mandate in January 2014, the Los Angeles Mayor, Eric Garste, announced a partnership with Jones to develop recommendations on the treatment of earthquake problems. Jones, who was previously a scientist in the American Geological Survey, was a major figure behind Shakeout, the name of both the giant earthquake exercises and a 2008 report showing a 7.8 -magnitude earthquake on San Andreas’s southern rift. In this scenario, scientists estimated that the earthquake could cause 1,800 people to be killed, 50 thousand injury and $ 200 billion in damage and other losses.
By the end of 2014, Garcetti proposed a comprehensive set of seismic safety rules that were unanimously supported by the city council the following year.
Vehicles were crashed when one -storey residential building collapsed during the 1994 Northridge earthquake.
(Roland Otero/Los Angeles Times)
But the work is not over. The improvements on the reliability of the electrical network and fuel pipelines were not balanced, according to Jones, and are still concerned about the stability of water supply in southern California.
Los Angeles has made slow progress in retrofitting fragile concrete buildings. The city’s data shows that only two of the 1337 fragile concrete buildings in Los Angeles have obtained compliance certificates showing that they meet the standards of the modernization amendment law.
The owners of concrete buildings have been granted longer to re -update – 25 years, compared to the seven years that the owners of the soft -storey buildings had to update.
Some of the owners of the soft floors began to receive the update modification orders in 2016, which means that they still have some time before the seven -year period ended. Other owners started taking orders in 2017.
Concrete buildings can be especially deadly because they are very huge. The collapse of two concrete buildings in the 2011 New Zealand earthquake killed 133 people.
Jones is still particularly concerned about the old brick buildings. An analysis of the Times newspaper found in 2018 that there were up to 640 unaccounted buildings in more than twelve cities of the Interior Empire, including Riverisid, Bomona and San Bernardino, which were classified as dangerous but remained unprepared despite decades From warnings.
Not a lot has been done to fix these buildings, despite the fact that San Andreas’s rift passes across the region. By contrast, Los Angeles ordered the modification or demolition of such structures decades ago.
In the 2011 New Zealand earthquake, more than 40 people died when brick and stone buildings collapsed. Most of them were not inside the buildings, but they were killed by the drop in the drop while they were on the sidewalk or in a car on a adjacent road.
Jones said: “It is frustrated because we know that these are the ones who will kill people.” “It requires thinking beyond the short term and believing in societal and societal investments.”
Bricks from collapsed buildings fill a street in Christchurch, New Zealand, after the 2011 earthquake. More than 40 people died when brick buildings collapsed during the earthquake.
(Martin Hunter/Getty Images)
Jones is also concerned about California’s Minimum Building Standards, which still allow for new buildings to be built that could be so badly damaged in an earthquake that they must be demolished. Earthquake safety advocates have been promoting a new building standard that would have stronger structures in the first place, so that they could be repaired and reoccupied relatively quickly after a major earthquake.
Then- gov. In 2018, Jerry Brown vetoed a bill intended to promote minimum building requirements. The proposed law would have established a committee to assess whether a stricter building standard should be adopted and to provide input on whether the new rule should be mandatory.
Porter previously estimated that strengthening California’s minimum building standards would increase construction costs by 1% to 2%.
“Think of how many buildings have been built in downtown Los Angeles in the last 15 years. There are a lot of them, and they were built to be a complete financial loss” if they were built to the current minimum building standard, Jones said. “What would happen to the economy of Southern California if we couldn’t use the buildings in downtown Los Angeles?”
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