Earthquakes in southern California last year increased the chances of the “biggest” mistake of the San Andreas – The Yucatan Times

An employee cleans a corridor of bottles that were dropped in a convenience store after a 7.1-magnitude earthquake occurred nearby, on July 6, 2019, in Ridgecrest, California.

New research has shown that the Ridgecrest earthquakes that struck southern California last July may have increased the chances of a major earthquake along the San Andreas fault.

The San Andreas Fault Line runs across 800 miles from the California coast. A major earthquake – referred to as a “major earthquake” – will destroy Los Angeles and other cities.

The chances of such a catastrophe are still low, but the researcher who calculated it wants the population to be prepared.

This time last year, a series of strong earthquakes struck southern California, peaking at a magnitude of 7.1 and a set of aftershocks. The buildings caught on fire. The gas lines were torn, and the electricity went out. Deep cracks opened to the ground. Rock Slide Dam Highway.

House burned July 5, 2019, after an earthquake in Ridgecrest.

Reuters

Within a week, scientists recorded more than 3,000 earthquakes in the area around California’s Searles Valley.

Perhaps these tremors have brought the country closer to a bigger and more deadly disaster.

That’s because a series of seismic events – codenamed “Ridgecrest’s earthquakes” near the epicenter – have increased the chances of a major rupture of the San Andreas error, according to seismologists.

The San Andreas slides extend 800 miles from the coast of California, from Eureka to San Bernardino. Long-awaited “big” error – a term of 6.7 or higher along this error.

The large building is likely to collapse, cause explosions from tearing natural gas lines, lead to landslides, and bridges. New research suggests that smaller California earthquakes can cause such a catastrophe by connecting fault lines.

The rift line connected to the “Great Line” could have caused a man on 4 July 2019, looking at the crevice that opened in the desert during a strong earthquake that struck near Ridgecrest.

Photographer: David McNew, Reuters

The new threat comes with the Garlock fault line, which stretches 160 miles across the Mojave desert and connects the Ridgecrest earthquake site to San Andreas’s biggest mistake. Garlock’s error was previously 0.023% for producing a 7.5 or more earthquake in the next 12 months. But after Ridgecrest, the researchers calculated that those opportunities grew to 2.3% – a hundredfold increase.

If such an earthquake strikes Jarlock’s fault, it could lead to a catastrophe along San Andreas. This means that there is a 1.12% chance of a major earthquake in San Andreas during the year. According to the study, this represents a possibility three to five times more likely in a regular year.

“The Ridgecrest earthquake made Jarlock’s mistake closer to rip. If this error is torn – and he got approximately 25 miles from San Andreas – there is a high possibility, perhaps 50-50 rounds, that it will immediately rupture in San Andreas, “Ross Stein, author of the study who was formerly a geophysicist on the US Geological Survey, According to the Los Angeles Times.

An earthquake in Ridgecrest dropped wine bottles at the Eastridge Market, seen on July 6, 2019.

Alan Deval / Reuters

Stein is also CEO of Temblor, a disaster modeling company. Co-author of his study, Shinji Toda, is a seismologist at the International Disaster Research Institute at Tohoku University in Japan. Their results are to be published on Tuesday in the Bulletin of the American Seismic Society.

However, the chances of a major earthquake in San Andreas next year remain low.

“It is kind of a Ruby Goldberg scenario,” Susan Haug, a USGS seismologist, told the New York Times about the scenario that Stein and Toda described. “This is possible, but regarding something worrisome, the possibility is low.”

However, seismologists agree that the largest of them is delayed.

“The last major earthquake struck the LA part of the San Andreas 1680 error,” physicist Michio Kako told CBS News last July. “This is more than 300 years ago. But the duration of the spacers and earthquakes course on the San Andreas fault is 130 years, so we are very late.”

Stein stressed the importance of preparedness: storing water, non-perishable food, and emergency medical supplies, as well as knowing what to do in the event of a major earthquake.

“No one should panic,” he told The Times. But at the same time, the inference to increase the likelihood of San Andreas rupture should serve as a reminder that anyone in Los Angeles should ask himself, “Am I ready? “

Source: Business Insider

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