Noto earthquake evacuation data shows lesson learned from the large 2011 earthquake

Yomiuri Shimbun archive photo, the coastal area hit by the tsunami in Suzu, Ishikawa Prefecture, on January 6.

Yomiuri Shimbun

16:45 Japan time, 4 March 2024

Many people fled to higher ground immediately after the Noto Peninsula earthquake to escape the tsunami that followed, according to people flow data analyzed by the Yomiuri Shimbun.

The 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake prompted revisions to tsunami hazard maps in Ishikawa Prefecture, apparently increasing residents' awareness of tsunami danger. Some survivors of the recent quake said the 2011 quake served as a lesson for them, reinforcing the importance of immediate evacuation.

Agoop Corp, a Tokyo-based information services company subsidiary of SoftBank Corp, used anonymized cell phone location data to show the flow of people immediately before and after the Jan. 1 earthquake that struck at 4:10 p.m.

The newspaper's analysis of the data showed a clear increase in the flow from coastal residential areas to evacuation centers about five minutes after the earthquake in the Ida and Tada areas of Suzu, Prefecture. Evacuation centers – such as Ida High School – are located on hills between 15 meters and 25 meters above sea level.

The prefectural government revised its tsunami forecasts after the 2011 earthquake saw severe tsunami damage, and the Suzhou City government created a hazard map in 2018, predicting that the tsunami would reach the area in about 20 minutes.

Data from NTT Docomo Inc.'s mobile spatial statistics showed. The moving population based on cell phone location data also estimates that the population around Ida High School between 5pm and 6pm was three times what was seen between 3pm and 4pm. Suzhou has also seen an increase in floating populations on higher ground, while numbers have declined significantly in lower-elevation areas along the coast.

A 68-year-old man in Suzhou said: “I learned a lot from the 2011 earthquake and other disasters in the past, and I urged people to escape to higher ground in case of a major earthquake. The fact that we called out to each other may have contributed to the speed of the evacuation.” .

The recent earthquake killed 241 people. Of the 139 victims whose names were published by the prefecture with the consent of their families, two were killed by the tsunami.

Yomiuri Shimbun

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