Can snowfall and heavy rain contribute to some earthquakes?

A recent study found that episodes of heavy snowfall and rain may have contributed to a cluster of earthquakes over the past few years in northern Japan. This is the first time that the climatic conditions to initiate some earthquakes have been found. Surprisingly, seismic activity in the region coincides with certain changes in underground pressure, and these changes have been influenced by seasonal patterns of snowfall and precipitation. Scientists suspect that this new link between earthquakes and climate may not be limited to Japan. Since late 2020, hundreds of small earthquakes – earthquake swarms – have rocked Japan's Noto Peninsula. In 2020, changes in seismic velocity appeared to synchronize with the seasons. When it rains or snows, it adds weight, which increases pore pressure, allowing seismic waves to travel through them more slowly. Through the hydromechanical model, changes in excess pore pressure under the Noto Peninsula, before and during the earthquake, were tracked. When the seismic velocity observations and the excess pore pressure model were interleaved, they were a good fit. When snowfall data, especially extreme snowfall events, were included, the fit between model and observations was stronger.

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